New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/21/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, July 21, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+106) Toronto (-128)

Rogers Centre is the site where the Toronto Blue Jays (55-41) will try to defeat the New York Yankees (53-43) on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Yankees at +106 and the Blue Jays are at -128. The betting total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Marcus Stroman and Kevin Gausman.

The Yankees have compiled 170 two-baggers as a team and have hit 151 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .455 and have been rung up 842 times, while taking a walk on 373 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are recording 5.2 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They have accumulated 480 RBI's as well as 836 base knocks on the year, and their batting average sits at .256. They have notched a total of 501 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .336.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.69 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21. Yankees pitchers have allowed 104 home runs and also 390 total runs (12th in baseball). New York has allowed 712 base knocks (7.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 361 earned runs. The Yankees are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.82 over the course of the season (13th in MLB), and they have struck out 859 hitters. They have walked 319 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.89 as a squad so far this year.

The Yankees have sent 314 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 156 runners so far this year and 25.6% of them crossed home plate. They have recorded 25 saves on the season and have blown 10 of 35 save chances. The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 71.4% and have entered the game in 89 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 53 holds for the season (17th in baseball). Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 103 times in addition to having 91 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have notched a total of 2,549 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 812 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which is 13th in MLB, and have 61 double plays. The Yankees have turned 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,647 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 3rd in MLB.

Stroman (88-86 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.71 and he has faced 6,210 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 1,452 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 448 free passes. His earned run average is 3.77 (621 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.282. Stroman has taken the mound for 1,482 frames and is sitting with 1,219 punch outs in his career.

Toronto has 101 home runs over the course of the season as well as 421 RBIs. They have hit 163 two-baggers, while walking 322 times and notching 440 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .330 in addition to a team batting average of .258 on the campaign. The Blue Jays have a team SLG% of .404 and they score 4.58 runs per outing (11th in the league). They have struck out on 649 occasions (30th in baseball) and have tallied 838 base hits.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.271 in addition to having a FIP of 4.28 as a staff on the season. They are currently ranked 12th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 769. The Toronto pitching staff have given up 423 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.16 (394 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.00 (854 strikeouts vs 314 free passes). They have conceded 126 homers and they give up 4.47 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league).

Toronto has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 45 save chances and they have converted 28 saves. They are currently ranked 15th in the league with a save percentage of 62.2%, and they have sent 330 relievers to the mound on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 93 times in high leverage situations and also on 98 occasions with runners on. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.7% out of their 137 inherited runners. With 101 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 55 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 69 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (23rd in MLB). The Blue Jays have 720 assists, 50 errors and have notched a total of 2,558 putouts so far this year. In 7,674 innings on the field, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (14th in pro baseball).

In his MLB career, Gausman has given up 1,773 base hits while accumulating 1,869 strikeouts in 1,827 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 784 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.254 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.60 and he has faced 7,662 hitters thus far in his career. Gausman (108-109 mark in his career) has a 3.86 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+106)

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