New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Wednesday, July 23, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+220) Toronto (-275)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (59-41) will compete against the New York Yankees (55-45) on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has New York at +220 and Toronto opens at -275. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Chris Bassitt.

The Yankees have earned 177 doubles as a team and have hit 157 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging rate of .454 and have struck out 876 times, while being walked on 388 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are notching 5.2 runs/g, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league. They have tallied 500 runs batted in in addition to 869 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average comes in at .255. They have tallied 521 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .335.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.63 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.22. Yankees pitchers have allowed 109 long balls and 412 runs in total (14th in baseball). New York has allowed 744 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 381 earned runs. The Yankees have compiled a team earned run average of 3.88 so far this season (14th in the league), and their staff has struck out 886 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 337 batters and their FIP sits at 3.95 as a team over the course of the season.

Yankees bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 106 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 55 holds this year (16th in MLB). The Yankees relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 72.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 92 save situations. They have compiled 26 saves this year and have blown 10 of 36 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 162 base runners over the course of the season with 25.3% of those players crossed the plate. The Yankees have dispatched 327 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The New York Mets have accounted for 2,651 putouts for the season, in addition to 847 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which has them sitting 14th in MLB, and they have turned 63 double plays. The Yankees have converted 71.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,953 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 2nd in pro baseball.

Fried (84-39 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 2.95 and he has gone up against 4,103 hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 879 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 273 walks. His earned run average is 3.00 (335 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.145. Fried has taken the ball for 1,006 innings and has tallied 976 strikeouts during his career.

The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled an on-base percentage of .332 and a batting average of .260 so far this season. They have struck out on 665 occasions (30th in MLB) and have recorded 877 hits. Toronto has compiled 105 long balls on the season to go along with 441 runs batted in. The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .408 and they tally 4.62 runs per outing (10th in the league). They have tallied 175 two-baggers, while walking 337 times as well as putting up 462 runs.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.261 and have a FIP of 4.22 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.10 (896 strikeouts vs 319 walks). They have a ranking of 13th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 801. They have given up 130 long balls and they relinquish 4.39 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball). The Toronto pitching staff have yielded 433 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.09 (404 earned runs yielded).

Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.9% of 144 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 99 times in high leverage situations and on 102 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 112 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 62 holds and 17 blown saves. They rank 13th in MLB with a save rate of 64.6%, and they have sent 343 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 48 save opportunities and they have tallied 31 saves.

In their 7,998 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (14th in the majors). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 74 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 747 assists, 51 errors and have earned a total of 2,666 putouts this season.

Bassitt (82-60 career mark) has a 3.62 ERA and has surrendered 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and he has gone up against 5,165 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered 491 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.245 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. Thus far in his career, Bassitt has given up 1,135 hits while he has accumulated 1,134 K's in 1,221 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+220)

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