New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-130) Toronto (+110)

The New York Yankees (48-37) are traveling to Rogers Centre on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Toronto Blue Jays (47-38). The line on this matchup has New York at -130 while Toronto is at +110. The betting total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers are Clarke Schmidt and Chris Bassitt.

As a team, the New York Yankees are notching 5.1 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 4th in the league. They have racked up 431 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .336. The Yankees have recorded 146 two-baggers as a team and have hit 128 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 412 RBI's as well as 726 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate sits at .252. New York is slugging .445 and have been rung up 757 times, while taking a walk on 342 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.75 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 83 home runs and 326 runs in total (5th in baseball). New York has allowed 612 hits (7.3 per 9 innings) as well as 299 earned runs. The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.57 so far this year (7th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 774 batters. They have walked 281 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.69 as a team for the season.

The Yankees have dispatched 275 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 142 runners so far this season with 25.4% of them ended up scoring. They have accumulated 23 saves this season and have not converted 9 out of their 32 chances to get a save. The Yankees relievers have a save rate of 71.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 79 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 46 holds over the course of the season (20th in baseball). Yankees pitchers have come into the game with runners on 90 times and also have had 83 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have converted 71.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,783 innings, ranking them 3rd in baseball. The New York Mets have amassed 2,261 putouts for the season, in addition to 720 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which ranks 13th in the majors, and have earned 51 double plays.

Schmidt has thrown 389 frames and has accounted for 383 punch outs thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.79 (164 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.266. He has given up 356 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 137 walks. Schmidt (23-24 career record) holds a FIP of 3.73 while facing 1,655 batters in the majors.

The Blue Jays hold a slugging % of .398 and they are recording 4.49 runs per game (13th in baseball). They have hit 141 doubles, while taking a walk 283 times and notching 382 runs. Toronto has recorded 86 HRs on the year as well as 366 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 571 instances (30th in MLB) and have 737 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have an OBP of .328 and a batting average of .257 so far this year.

The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.259 with a FIP of 4.29 as a unit for the year. They are sitting at 12th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 677. The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 378 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.20 (353 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (754 strikeouts against 275 walks). They have given up 113 homers and they concede 4.50 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball).

Sitting with 88 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 48 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 39 save chances and they have come away with 25 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 80 times in high leverage situations in addition to 85 occasions with runners on. Toronto bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.7% out of 120 inherited base runners. They rank 12th in baseball holding a save rate of 64.1%, and they have dispatched 292 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 60 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in baseball). The Blue Jays have racked up 643 assists, 41 errors and have 2,270 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 6,810 innings played, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (12th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Bassitt has surrendered 1,113 base hits while he has earned 1,118 punch outs in 1,202 frames. Bassitt (79-60 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.65 earned run average and has given up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 487 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.244 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.93 and he has gone up against 5,086 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-130)

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