Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 5/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Friday, May 9, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+172) Cleveland (-210)

The Cleveland Guardians (22-15) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (21-15) at Progressive Field on Friday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at +172 and the Guardians are opening at -210. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Aaron Nola and Gavin Williams.

The Phillies have earned 54 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 38 balls out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .405 and have struck out 286 times, while drawing a walk on 140 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, which has them at 8th in MLB. They have recorded 164 runs batted in in addition to 318 hits this year, while their batting average comes in at .259. They have notched a total of 174 runs scored and hold an OBP of .339.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.35 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 35 long balls and 155 total runs (15th in baseball). Philadelphia has allowed 303 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 138 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 3.85 over the course of the season (14th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 355 hitters. They have walked 106 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.42 as a squad for the season.

The Phillies relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 55.6% and have come into the game in 37 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 30 base runners for the year and 43.3% of those runners ended up scoring. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 22 times as well as having 34 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 116 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 18 holds this season (21st in baseball). They have compiled 10 saves over the course of the season and have blown 8 of 18 save opportunities.

The Phillies have converted 67.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,904 innings, which ranks them 25th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for 968 putouts this season, as well as 316 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which has them ranked 8th in MLB, and they have turned 26 double plays.

Nola (105-84 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.67 and he has faced 6,808 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,464 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 434 walks. His ERA is 3.73 (688 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.142. Nola has taken the hill for 1,662 innings and has earned 1,824 punch outs in his MLB career.

The Cleveland Guardians hold an on-base percentage of .311 and a batting average of .238 on the campaign. They have struck out on 290 instances (20th in the league) and have 288 base hits. Cleveland has a total of 42 long balls for the year as well as 146 runs batted in. The Guardians hold a team slugging % of .386 and they are earning 4.24 runs per outing (17th in the league). They have hit 50 doubles, while walking 122 times as well as scoring 157 runs.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.433 in addition to having a FIP of 4.29 as a team so far this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.40 (304 strikeouts against 141 free passes). They rank 24th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 326. They have yielded 42 homers and they allow 4.72 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have given up 171 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.31 (156 earned runs given up).

Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 18 save chances and they have recorded 13 saves. They are ranked 7th in baseball with a save percentage of 72.2%, and they have dispatched 131 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 41 times in high leverage situations and also on 34 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 28.6% of 49 inherited runners. Sitting with 53 save situations, the Guardians have recorded 35 holds in addition to 5 blown saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 30 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .979 (28th in pro baseball). The Guardians have accrued 278 assists, 27 errors and have 978 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 2,934 innings played, the Guardians have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (28th in professional baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Williams has conceded 175 base knocks while tallying 197 K's in 190 innings pitched. Williams (8-17 career record) is the owner of a 4.22 earned run average while allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 89 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.384 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.24 and he has gone up against 823 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+172)

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