Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Thursday, October 9, 2025

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-130) Los Angeles (+110)

Dodger Stadium is the location where the Los Angeles Dodgers (93-69) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (96-66) on Thursday in Game 4 of the NLDS. The Dodgers lead the series 2-1 after losing 8-2 in Game 3. The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at -130 and Los Angeles is sitting at +110. The total is set at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start are Cristopher Sanchez and Tyler Glasnow.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .431 and have been rung up 1,337 times, while drawing a walk on 528 occasions. They have accounted for 753 RBI's and 1,426 hits for the season, and their batting average comes in at .258. The Phillies have recorded 268 doubles as a unit and have hit 212 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 778 runs and hold an OBP of .328. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.8 runs per outing, which ranks them 8th in MLB.

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The Phillies hold a team earned run average of 3.79 on the campaign (9th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,471 batters. Phillies pitchers have given up 177 long balls and also 648 total runs (6th in the league). They have walked 435 hitters and their FIP is 3.71 as a squad this season. Philadelphia has surrendered 1,342 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 607 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.38 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.23.

The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 63.5% and have come into the game in 160 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 base runners for the year and 31.8% of them crossed the plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 106 times in addition to having 179 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 506 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers have tallied 83 holds on the campaign (21st in MLB). They have accumulated 47 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 27 of their 74 save opportunities.

The Phillies have transformed 69.1% of balls in play into outs out of 12,963 innings on the field, ranking them 21st in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 4,321 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,383 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which ranks 5th in pro baseball, and have a total of 105 double plays.

Sanchez (30-21 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.20 and he has gone up against 2,193 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 495 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 128 walks. His ERA is 3.25 (193 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.164. Sanchez has taken the ball for 535 frames and has 509 punch outs in his career.

The Dodgers have a team slugging percentage of .441 and they are recording 5.09 runs per game (2nd in baseball). They have hit 257 doubles, while getting a free base 580 times as well as scoring 825 runs. Los Angeles has knocked in 244 home runs on the campaign to go along with 791 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,353 occasions (16th in baseball) and have 1,384 base knocks. The Los Angeles Dodgers hold an OBP of .327 and a team batting average of .253 so far this season.

The Los Angeles pitching staff have surrendered 683 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.95 (633 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 175 home runs and they concede 4.27 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.258 with a FIP of 3.93 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (1,505 strikeouts vs 563 free passes). They sit at 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,250.

With 206 save situations, the Dodgers have recorded 128 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. Los Angeles has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 73 save opportunities and they have come away with 46 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 186 times in high leverage situations in addition to 149 occasions with runners on. Los Angeles bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.1% out of their 230 inherited base runners. They are ranked 18th in MLB holding a save rate of 63.0%, and they have dispatched 581 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

In their 12,969 innings played, the Dodgers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (11th in the majors). The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 102 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in the majors). The Dodgers have accrued 1,346 assists, 68 errors and have amassed 4,323 putouts this year.

During his MLB career, Glasnow has surrendered 575 base knocks while he has earned 952 strikeouts in 753 innings. Glasnow (43-36 career win-loss record) holds a 3.74 earned run average while surrendering 6.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 313 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.148 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.28 and he has faced 3,085 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-130)

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