Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, June 16, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-150) Miami (+125)

The Philadelphia Phillies (39-29) are headed to loanDepot park on Monday where they will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (25-41). The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at -150 and Miami is at +125. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Mick Abel and Sandy Alcantara.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 8th in baseball. They have accounted for 312 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .328. The Phillies have hit 104 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 71 balls out of the park. They have 296 runs batted in and 588 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average is at .254. Philadelphia has a slugging % of .399 and have been called out on strikes 535 times, while taking a walk on 238 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.07 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have given up 72 home runs and 295 total runs (18th in the league). Philadelphia has allowed 588 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 271 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 4.00 on the campaign (18th in the league), and they have struck out 638 hitters. They have walked 208 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.64 as a squad on the year.

The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 58.8% and have entered the game in 68 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 67 base runners for the year with 38.8% of those players crossed home plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 48 times as well as having 78 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 218 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have a total of 33 holds for the year (25th in baseball). They have tallied 20 saves on the year and have missed out on 14 of their 34 chances to get a save.

The Phillies have turned 67.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,490 innings, which has them ranked 25th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 1,830 putouts on the year, as well as 584 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which ranks 3rd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 44 double plays.

Abel (1-0 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.35 and he has gone up against 61 hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 14 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 3 walks. His earned run average is 2.38 (4 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.126. Abel has taken the ball for 15 innings and has earned 14 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Miami Marlins have a team on-base percentage of .310 as well as a team batting average of .247 so far this year. They have struck out on 538 occasions (21st in the league) and have earned 556 base hits. Miami is sitting with 57 home runs this year to go along with 254 runs batted in. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .380 and they average 4.00 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have put up 111 doubles, while taking a walk 197 times as well as earning 264 runs.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.421 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.42 as a staff this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (523 strikeouts against 235 walks). They have a ranking of 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 596. They have conceded 81 home runs and they surrender 5.49 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 357 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 5.06 (329 earned runs conceded).

With 55 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 31 holds and also 12 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 24 save chances and they have earned 12 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 72 times in high leverage situations and also on 58 occasions with runners on. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.9% out of 83 inherited runners. They sit at 27th in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 212 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

In their 5,265 innings on the field, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (23rd in MLB). The Miami Marlins have turned 46 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (24th in baseball). The Marlins have recorded 569 assists, 38 errors and have 1,755 putouts on the campaign.

Alcantara (44-62 mark in his career) has earned a 3.57 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.76 and he has gone up against 3,963 batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 382 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.179 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. In his career, Alcantara has surrendered 832 base hits while totaling 839 punch outs in 963 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (+125) and under 8.5 runs

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