Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-210) Miami (+172)

The Philadelphia Phillies (42-29) are en route to loanDepot park on Tuesday where they will take on the Miami Marlins (28-41). The moneyline on this matchup has Philadelphia at -210 and Miami is opening at +172. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jesus Luzardo and Cal Quantrill.

Philadelphia is slugging .404 and have been called out on strikes 557 times, while being walked on 253 occasions. They have accounted for 318 runs batted in as well as 620 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .257. The Phillies have accounted for 110 doubles as a team and have hit 75 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 334 runs scored and have an OBP of .332. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 4.7 runs/g, which has them at 7th in baseball.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.11 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. Phillies pitchers have allowed 72 long balls in addition to 301 runs in total (17th in baseball). Philadelphia has surrendered 606 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 276 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team ERA of 3.90 this year (16th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 662 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 213 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.56 as a team on the campaign.

The Phillies bullpen have a save rate of 60.0% and have come into the game in 69 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 67 base runners so far this year with 38.8% of those players earned a run for their team. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 48 times in addition to having 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 225 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 33 holds on the season (27th in baseball). They have recorded 21 saves this year and have blown 14 of their 35 save opportunities.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 1,911 putouts this season, as well as 614 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which is 3rd in MLB, and have a total of 46 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,733 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 25th in baseball.

Luzardo (32-36 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.22 while he has gone up against 2,483 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 547 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 204 walks. His earned run average is 4.28 (281 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.272. Luzardo has thrown 590 innings and has racked up 652 punch outs in his MLB career.

The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .385 and they earn 4.09 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have hit 115 doubles, while taking a walk 206 times as well as notching 282 runs. Miami has knocked in 61 home runs so far this season as well as 271 RBIs. They have struck out on 558 occasions (22nd in the league) and have 595 hits. The Miami Marlins have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .314 and a team batting average of .252 over the course of the season.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.425 in addition to having a FIP of 4.39 as a staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (543 strikeouts against 247 walks). They sit at 24th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 625. They have conceded 82 HR's and they relinquish 5.44 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 370 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.03 (342 earned runs relinquished).

With 62 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 35 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 27 save chances and they have come away with 15 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 79 times in high leverage situations and also on 64 occasions with base runners. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.0% out of 94 inherited base runners. They are ranked 24th in baseball with a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have sent 227 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year.

Out of their 5,508 innings on the field, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (22nd in baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 50 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 605 assists, 39 errors and have accumulated 1,836 putouts so far this year.

During his pro baseball career, Quantrill has allowed 781 hits while earning 583 strikeouts in 778 frames. He has given up a total of 362 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.329 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.30 and he has gone up against 3,319 hitters in his career. Quantrill (46-41 career mark) is the owner of a 4.19 ERA and has conceded 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+172)

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