Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, August 25, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-122) New York (+102)

The Philadelphia Phillies (74-53) are on their way to Citi Field on Monday where they will play the New York Mets (67-60). The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies at -122 while the Mets are priced at +102. The total is 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Cristopher Sanchez and Kodai Senga.

Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .423 and have struck out 1,017 times, while being walked on 417 occasions. They have tallied 579 runs batted in in addition to 1,115 hits so far this season, while their team batting average sits at .258. The Phillies have tallied 211 doubles as a squad and have hit 156 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 604 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .328. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 4.8 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in the league.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.43 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.23. Phillies pitchers have conceded 138 home runs in addition to 505 runs in total (5th in baseball). Philadelphia has allowed 1,047 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 472 earned runs. The Phillies have a team earned run average of 3.76 this season (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,166 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 340 opposing players and their FIP is 3.65 as a squad this year.

Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 85 times in addition to having 127 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 60 holds so far this season (23rd in the league). The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 114 save situations. They have accumulated 34 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 19 of 53 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 122 base runners this year with 32.0% of those runners ended up scoring. The Phillies have dispatched 391 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Phillies have turned 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of 10,155 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 3,385 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,092 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .990 which ranks 3rd in the majors, and have accumulated 78 double plays.

Sanchez has taken the mound for 490 frames and has earned 466 K's in his career. Sanchez (28-20 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.26 while he has faced 2,022 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.30 (180 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.183. He has given up 458 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 122 free passes.

New York has accumulated 167 HRs on the campaign and 554 RBIs. They have put up 205 two-baggers, while walking 439 times as well as putting up 569 runs. The New York Mets have compiled an on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .244 on the campaign. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .418 and they are earning 4.48 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,023 occasions (19th in the league) and have a total of 1,034 hits.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 533 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.81 (476 earned runs yielded). They have given up 117 homers and they allow 4.26 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.314 and have a FIP of 3.90 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (1,088 strikeouts against 453 walks). They come in at 12th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,025.

New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 58 save chances and they have converted 36 saves. They are ranked 18th in baseball with a save rate of 62.1%, and they have sent 415 relievers to the mound on the year. Their relievers have taken the field 156 times in high leverage situations in addition to 136 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.7% out of their 202 inherited base runners. Sitting with 138 save situations, the Mets have tallied 80 holds and also 22 blown saves.

In 10,125 innings played, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have turned 94 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,146 assists, 60 errors and have accumulated 3,375 putouts so far this season.

In his MLB career, Senga has allowed 209 hits while he has totaled 310 strikeouts in 275 frames. He has conceded 87 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.224 and a FIP of 2.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.42 and he has gone up against 1,152 hitters in his MLB career. Senga (20-12 career mark) has a 2.84 earned run average while surrendering 6.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-122)

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