Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, July 26, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-196) New York (+162)

The New York Yankees (56-46) will compete against the Philadelphia Phillies (58-44) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at -196 while New York is coming in at +162. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Ranger Suarez and Marcus Stroman.

Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .408 and have struck out 809 times, while being walked on 349 occasions. They have recorded 446 RBI's and 880 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is at .254. The Phillies have accumulated 161 doubles as a unit and have smacked 115 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 469 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 11th in baseball.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 3.71 for the season (8th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 952 batters. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 106 home runs in addition to 406 runs (7th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 297 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.60 as a unit this season. Philadelphia has surrendered 843 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 375 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.21 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.25.

The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 61.4% and have entered the game in 90 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 96 runners on the campaign and 33.3% of them crossed the plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 67 times in addition to having 110 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 316 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have recorded 45 holds on the year (24th in the league). They have recorded 27 saves on the year and have blown 17 of their 44 chances to save the game.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 2,731 putouts this season, in addition to 882 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which has them sitting 3rd in professional baseball, and they have turned 71 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,193 innings, which ranks them 24th in professional baseball.

Suarez has taken the hill for 692 innings and is sitting with 636 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.33 (256 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.267. He has given up 649 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 228 walks. Suarez (48-33 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.28 and he has gone up against 2,904 batters in the majors.

The New York Yankees have recorded an on-base percentage of .333 and a team batting average of .254 for the year. They have struck out on 890 occasions (8th in the league) and have a total of 880 base hits. New York has accounted for 163 home runs this year to go along with 509 RBIs. The Yankees hold a team slugging percentage of .454 and they earn 5.20 runs per contest (3rd in baseball). They have hit 179 doubles, while taking a walk 390 times as well as scoring 530 runs.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.233 in addition to having a FIP of 3.95 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They come in at 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 765. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 424 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.89 (389 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (896 strikeouts against 345 walks). They have conceded 110 homers and they surrender 4.24 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball).

New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.9% out of their 166 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 96 times in high leverage situations and on 110 occasions with runners on. With 95 save situations, the Yankees have earned 56 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 71.1%, and they have sent 335 relievers to the hill on the season. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 38 save opportunities and they have come away with 27 saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 65 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (20th in pro baseball). The Yankees have racked up 864 assists, 52 errors and have accounted for 2,702 putouts so far this season. In their 8,106 innings played, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (5th in baseball).

In his MLB career, Stroman has conceded 1,457 base hits and he has 1,223 strikeouts in 1,488 innings. He has given up a total of 622 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.280 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.73 and he has faced 6,232 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Stroman (89-86 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.76 ERA and has surrendered 8.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-196)

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