Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-122) New York (+102)

The New York Yankees (56-46) are hosting the Philadelphia Phillies (58-44) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Phillies at -122 and the Yankees are priced at +102. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Carlos Rodon.

The Phillies have tallied 161 doubles as a unit and have smacked 115 balls out of the park. Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .408 and have struck out 809 times, while drawing a walk on 349 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 10th in baseball. They have earned 446 RBI's as well as 880 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average sits at .254. They have accumulated 469 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .327.

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The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 3.71 this year (8th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 952 batters. Phillies pitchers have allowed 106 home runs and 406 runs in total (7th in the league). They have walked 297 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.60 as a team on the season. Philadelphia has conceded 843 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 375 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.21 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25.

Phillies pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 67 times as well as having 110 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 45 holds so far this season (25th in the league). The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 61.4% and stepped onto the hill in 90 save situations. They have earned 27 saves so far this year and have blown 17 of 44 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 96 base runners on the year with 33.3% of those players ended up scoring. The Phillies have dispatched 316 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Phillies have transformed 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,193 innings on the field, which ranks them 24th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 2,731 putouts this season, in addition to 882 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which is 3rd in baseball, and they have turned 71 double plays.

Wheeler has taken the mound for 1,706 innings and is sitting with 1,789 K's in his MLB career. Wheeler (112-73 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.22 while he has gone up against 6,992 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.27 (619 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.135. He has surrendered 1,454 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 483 free passes.

New York has knocked in 163 home runs for the year as well as 509 RBIs. They have recorded 179 two-baggers, while taking a walk 390 times as well as putting up 530 runs. The New York Yankees are sitting with a team OBP of .333 as well as a team batting average of .254 on the year. The Yankees have a team slugging percentage of .454 and they average 5.20 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They have struck out on 890 occasions (8th in the league) and have accounted for 880 hits.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.233 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.95 as a unit so far this year. They have a ranking of 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 765. The New York pitching staff have allowed 424 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.89 (389 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (896 strikeouts vs 345 free passes). They have given up 110 home runs and they relinquish 4.24 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).

With 95 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 56 holds and 11 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to enter the contest in 38 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 96 times in high leverage situations and on 110 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 25.9% of 166 inherited runners. They sit at 3rd in the league with a save percentage of 71.1%, and they have dispatched 335 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The New York Yankees have turned 65 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (20th in professional baseball). The Yankees have racked up 864 assists, 52 errors and have accumulated 2,702 putouts this year. In 8,106 innings on the diamond, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (5th in MLB).

So far in his career, Rodon has surrendered 1,038 hits while he has earned 1,345 strikeouts in 1,210 innings pitched. Rodon (85-70 record in his career) has earned a 3.78 ERA and has given up 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 508 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.229 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and he has faced 5,094 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-122)

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