Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, May 6, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-152) Tampa Bay (+126)

The Tampa Bay Rays (16-18) will try to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (19-15) at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Tuesday. The line on this contest has Philadelphia at -152 while Tampa Bay is sitting at +126. The betting total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Zack Wheeler and Drew Rasmussen.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, which has them at 12th in MLB. They are sitting with 159 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .336. The Phillies have recorded 52 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 34 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 149 RBI's and 294 hits on the year, while their team batting average is .255. Philadelphia is slugging .399 and have been called out on strikes 272 times, while being walked on 134 occasions.

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The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.96 this year (15th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 331 batters. Phillies pitchers have allowed 34 home runs and also 151 runs in total (17th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 101 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.48 as a squad on the year. Philadelphia has allowed 295 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 134 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.28 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.30.

The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 52.9% and stepped onto the hill in 36 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 30 base runners over the course of the season and 43.3% of those players earned a run for their team. Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 22 times as well as having 34 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 113 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers are sitting with 18 holds for the year (21st in the league). They have recorded 9 saves so far this season and have blown 8 out of their 17 chances to get a save.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 914 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 296 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which puts them in 9th in baseball, and they have turned 25 double plays. The Phillies have converted 67.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,742 innings, which has them sitting at 28th in the majors.

Wheeler has taken the ball for 1,622 innings and has accumulated 1,682 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.34 (602 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.152. He has given up 1,403 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 466 free passes. Wheeler (105-71 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.29 while he has gone up against 6,675 batters in the major leagues.

The Rays have a SLG% of .369 and they have an average of 3.85 runs per game (22nd in baseball). They have tallied 52 doubles, while taking a walk 109 times and scoring 131 runs. Tampa Bay has hit 28 HRs on the year and 126 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 286 instances (11th in baseball) and have earned a total of 279 base hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have compiled a team OBP of .312 and a batting average of .245 over the course of the season.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.180 with a FIP of 4.30 as a unit so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (271 strikeouts against 98 walks). They are currently ranked 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 262. They have surrendered 45 homers and they relinquish 3.77 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have yielded 128 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.57 (121 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 31 save situations, the Rays have accrued 18 holds and 3 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relievers to enter the game in 13 save chances and they have recorded 10 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 34 times in high leverage situations and also on 15 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 56.5% out of 23 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 4th in the league with a save rate of 76.9%, and they have sent 107 relievers to the hill this season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 37 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in the majors). The Rays have accrued 323 assists, 13 errors and have earned a total of 917 putouts for the season. Out of their 2,751 innings played, the Rays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.6% (3rd in professional baseball).

In his career, Rasmussen has conceded 279 base hits and he has 331 K's in 340 innings. Rasmussen (21-14 career mark) is the owner of a 2.93 earned run average and has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 111 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.081 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.72 and he has faced 1,373 opposing batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+126)

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