Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 5/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-145) Tampa Bay (+125)

George M. Steinbrenner Field is the site where the Tampa Bay Rays (16-18) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (19-15) on Wednesday. The line on this contest has Philadelphia at -145 and Tampa Bay is priced at +125. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Cristopher Sanchez and Shane Baz.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, which has them at 12th in MLB. They have tallied 159 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .336. The Phillies have recorded 52 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 34 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 149 RBI's as well as 294 base knocks on the season, while their batting average is .255. Philadelphia is slugging .399 and have been called out on strikes 272 times, while being walked on 134 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.28 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 34 home runs in addition to 151 total runs (17th in MLB). Philadelphia has surrendered 295 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 134 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 3.96 for the season (15th in the league), and they have rung up 331 hitters. They have walked 101 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.48 as a team on the year.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 22 times in addition to having 34 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 18 holds for the year (21st in the league). The Phillies relievers have earned a save percentage of 52.9% and stepped onto the hill in 36 save situations. They have earned 9 saves for the year and have not converted 8 of 17 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 30 runners on the season with 43.3% of them crossed the plate. The Phillies have sent 113 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 914 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 296 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which puts them in 9th in MLB, and they have turned 25 double plays. The Phillies have converted 67.1% of balls in play into outs in their 2,742 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 28th in baseball.

Sanchez has taken the hill for 364 innings and has accounted for 336 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.68 (149 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.235. He has given up 355 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 95 walks. Sanchez (20-17 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.63 while he has gone up against 1,521 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with an OBP of .312 and a team batting average of .245 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 286 occasions (11th in MLB) and have notched a total of 279 hits. Tampa Bay has a total of 28 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 126 runs batted in. The Rays have a SLG% of .369 and they score 3.85 runs per contest (22nd in baseball). They have 52 doubles, while walking 109 times and notching 131 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have allowed 128 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.57 (121 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 45 homers and they yield 3.77 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.180 and have a FIP of 4.30 as a unit on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (271 strikeouts vs 98 walks). They are sitting at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 262.

Sitting with 31 save situations, the Rays have 18 holds and 3 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers enter the game in 13 save opportunities and they have tallied 10 saves. Their relievers have come in 34 times in high leverage situations and on 15 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 56.5% out of their 23 inherited base runners. They sit at 4th in the league holding a save rate of 76.9%, and they have sent 107 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 37 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). The Rays have accrued 323 assists, 13 errors and have amassed 917 putouts on the season. In 2,751 innings played, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 72.6% (3rd in baseball).

So far in his career, Baz has given up 119 base hits while he has totaled 154 K's in 154 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 60 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.102 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.02 and he has faced 627 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Baz (10-6 career record) holds a 3.50 earned run average while allowing 6.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+125)

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