Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 8/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-150) Washington (+125)

Nationals Park is the site where the Washington Nationals (47-72) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (69-50) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at -150 while Washington opens at +125. The over/under is 8. The starting pitchers will be Jesus Luzardo and Brad Lord.

Philadelphia is slugging .418 and have been called out on strikes 952 times, while drawing a walk on 395 occasions. They have recorded 532 RBI's and 1,021 hits for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .255. The Phillies have hit 196 doubles as a squad and have knocked 142 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 555 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .326. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.7 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in the league.

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The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.68 this season (6th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,075 batters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 129 long balls in addition to 462 runs (5th in MLB). They have walked 320 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.68 as a squad this season. Philadelphia has relinquished 974 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 430 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.36 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.23.

Phillies relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 74 times as well as having 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 56 holds on the year (23rd in the league). The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 65.3% and have come into the game in 106 save situations. They have recorded 32 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 17 of 49 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 106 base runners so far this season and 32.1% of those runners crossed home plate. The Phillies have sent 362 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 3,154 putouts thus far, as well as 1,021 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which has them ranked 3rd in baseball, and have accumulated 76 double plays. The Phillies have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,462 innings on the field, ranking them 21st in pro baseball.

Luzardo has pitched in 645 innings and has accumulated 710 punch outs thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.27 (306 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.271. He has surrendered 595 base knocks (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 225 walks. Luzardo (37-39 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.21 while going up against 2,710 opposing batters in the major leagues.

Washington has accounted for 113 home runs over the course of the season as well as 483 runs batted in. They have recorded 194 two-baggers, while taking a walk 339 times and notching 502 runs. The Washington Nationals are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .309 as well as a team batting average of .244 on the season. The Nationals hold a team SLG% of .387 and they average 4.25 runs per outing (20th in MLB). They have been rung up on 929 occasions (25th in MLB) and have accounted for 966 base hits.

The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.442 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.54 as a team on the year. They rank 29th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,099. The Washington pitching staff have relinquished 648 runs this season while holding an ERA of 5.32 (612 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.80 (900 strikeouts vs 395 bases on balls). They have allowed 146 long balls and they give up 5.63 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).

Washington bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 40.2% of 209 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 88 times in high leverage situations in addition to 122 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 83 save situations, the Nationals have recorded 46 holds and 14 blown saves. They rank 17th in the league with a save rate of 61.1%, and they have dispatched 414 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Washington has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 36 save chances and they have tallied 22 saves.

The Washington Nationals have turned 93 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in the majors). The Nationals have recorded 1,008 assists, 63 errors and have earned 3,109 putouts so far this season. Out of their 9,327 innings on the diamond, the Nationals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (29th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Lord has allowed 75 base hits and he has 70 strikeouts in 85 innings. He has allowed 31 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.212 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and he has faced 349 hitters so far in his career. Lord (3-6 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.28 ERA and has surrendered 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Washington (+125) and under 8 runs

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