Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 8/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-122) Washington (+102)

Nationals Park is the site where the Washington Nationals (49-72) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (69-52) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at -122 while the Nationals are at +102. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Aaron Nola and Mitchell Parker.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .414 and have been rung up 979 times, while being walked on 397 occasions. They have accounted for 535 runs batted in and 1,039 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate is .253. The Phillies have accounted for 200 two-baggers as a team and have hit 143 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 558 runs and have an on-base percentage of .323. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are recording 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 9th in MLB.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.36 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 132 home runs and 479 runs (5th in the league). Philadelphia has allowed 1,000 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 446 earned runs. The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.73 for the year (6th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,099 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 327 hitters and their FIP is 3.68 as a team for the season.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 76 times in addition to having 121 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 56 holds on the season (24th in the league). The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save rate of 64.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 107 save situations. They have earned 32 saves this year and have missed out on 18 of 50 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 112 base runners for the season with 33.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Phillies have sent 368 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Phillies have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,678 innings, ranking them 22nd in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 3,226 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,047 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which has them ranked 3rd in professional baseball, and have a total of 77 double plays.

Nola has taken the hill for 1,670 frames and has accounted for 1,831 K's in his MLB career. Nola (105-86 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.72 while he has gone up against 6,855 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.78 (701 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.149. He has given up 1,482 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 437 walks.

The Nationals hold a team slugging % of .388 and they earn 4.28 runs per game (20th in the league). They have put up 198 doubles, while taking a walk 350 times and putting up 518 runs. Washington has recorded 116 home runs on the year and 499 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 949 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have earned 992 base hits. The Washington Nationals hold a team OBP of .309 as well as a batting average of .244 on the season.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.445 in addition to having a FIP of 4.55 as a unit so far this season. They come in at 29th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,127. The Washington pitching staff have conceded 665 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 5.33 (629 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.80 (919 strikeouts vs 408 free passes). They have surrendered 149 long balls and they allow 5.64 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).

Sitting with 88 save situations, the Nationals have 49 holds and also 15 blown saves. Washington has called on relievers to take the mound in 38 save opportunities and they have tallied 23 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 93 times in high leverage situations and on 125 occasions with base runners. Washington relievers hold an inherited score rate of 39.9% of 213 inherited base runners. They are ranked 18th in the league with a save rate of 60.5%, and they have dispatched 426 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

In 9,561 innings on the diamond, the Nationals hold a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (29th in MLB). The Washington Nationals have gotten 95 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in pro baseball). The Nationals have recorded 1,039 assists, 63 errors and have accounted for 3,187 putouts on the season.

So far in his MLB career, Parker has allowed 292 base knocks while totaling 217 strikeouts in 279 innings pitched. Parker (14-23 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.87 earned run average while conceding 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 151 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.376 and a FIP of 4.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and he has faced 1,213 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+102)

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