Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, September 26, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+220) Atlanta (-275)

The Atlanta Braves (75-84) will play the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-89) at Truist Park on Friday. The line on this contest has Pittsburgh at +220 and Atlanta is sitting at -275. The over/under is 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Mitch Keller and Joey Wentz.

As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 3.6 runs per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. They are sitting with 569 runs while holding a team OBP of .305. The Pirates have recorded 241 doubles as a squad and have knocked 113 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 548 RBI's in addition to 1,211 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is at .231. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .350 and have struck out 1,383 times, while drawing a walk on 519 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 150 long balls in addition to 635 runs in total (6th in the league). Pittsburgh has relinquished 1,238 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 589 earned runs. The Pirates are sitting with a team ERA of 3.80 this year (7th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,278 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 463 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.86 as a squad so far this season.

Pirates bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 141 times as well as having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 71 holds on the year (27th in baseball). The Pirates relievers have accumulated a save rate of 57.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 135 save situations. They have recorded 35 saves on the season and have blown 26 of their 61 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 215 base runners so far this season with 35.8% of those runners ended up scoring. The Pirates have dispatched 498 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with 4,190 putouts this season, as well as 1,306 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which has them ranked 11th in the majors, and have 115 double plays. The Pirates have turned 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,570 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 8th in MLB.

Keller (42-65 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.46 while facing 3,799 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 911 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 294 free passes. His ERA is 4.52 (439 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.380. Keller has pitched in 873 innings and is sitting with 831 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Braves hold a team slugging % of .400 and they are earning 4.50 runs per contest (13th in MLB). They have hit 238 doubles, while walking 566 times as well as scoring 716 runs. Atlanta has tallied 187 long balls on the year and 694 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,343 occasions (13th in the league) and have accounted for 1,330 base knocks. The Atlanta Braves have earned a team on-base percentage of .321 as well as a team batting average of .246 on the season.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.303 and have a FIP of 4.20 as a staff over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,391 strikeouts against 520 walks). They come in at 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,318. They have allowed 193 homers and they relinquish 4.60 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 721 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.36 (683 earned runs allowed).

Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 54 save chances and they have earned 33 saves. They rank 20th in baseball with a save rate of 61.1%, and they have sent 510 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 167 times in high leverage situations and also on 157 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 39.0% of 213 inherited base runners. Sitting with 126 save situations, the Braves have accrued 72 holds in addition to 21 blown saves.

In 12,699 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (18th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 105 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .991 (2nd in MLB). The Braves have 1,339 assists, 53 errors and are sitting with 4,233 putouts this season.

Wentz (11-23 win-loss record in his career) holds a 5.53 ERA and has conceded 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.14 and he has faced 1,351 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 184 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.524 and a FIP of 5.5. In his MLB career, Wentz has allowed 322 hits while he has earned 287 punch outs in 299 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (-275) and under 9 runs

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