Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+172) Baltimore (-210)

The Baltimore Orioles (67-77) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (64-81) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Pirates at +172 and the Orioles are priced at -210. The total is 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Johan Oviedo and Cade Povich.

As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 3.6 runs per game, which has them at 30th in the league. They have 524 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .306. The Pirates have accumulated 219 doubles as a team and have hit 103 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 504 runs batted in as well as 1,116 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is .232. Pittsburgh is slugging .350 and have been called out on strikes 1,267 times, while being walked on 475 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23. Pirates pitchers have conceded 138 home runs and also 594 runs in total (9th in MLB). Pittsburgh has conceded 1,145 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 554 earned runs. The Pirates have a team earned run average of 3.89 for the season (13th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,153 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 424 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.90 as a squad so far this season.

The Pirates relievers have earned a save percentage of 60.0% and have entered the game in 121 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 193 base runners on the campaign with 36.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Pirates bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 126 times and also have had 137 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 454 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 64 holds this year (26th in MLB). They have earned 33 saves for the season and have blown 22 out of their 55 chances to get a save.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have amassed 3,842 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,209 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which ranks 14th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 107 double plays. The Pirates have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs in their 11,526 innings, ranking them 7th in MLB.

Oviedo has taken the ball for 340 innings and has accounted for 303 punch outs so far in his career. Oviedo (15-25 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.17 while he has faced 1,506 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.23 (160 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.382. He has conceded 306 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 164 free passes.

Baltimore has accumulated 173 home runs so far this year and 590 runs batted in. They have 232 doubles, while walking 416 times as well as putting up 623 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated an on-base percentage of .307 and a team batting average of .240 on the year. The Orioles have a team slugging % of .402 and they earn 4.33 runs per outing (17th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,277 occasions (7th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,163 base knocks.

The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 704 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.63 (655 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 195 HR's and they allow 4.97 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.373 with a FIP of 4.47 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (1,181 strikeouts vs 463 walks). They rank 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,286.

Baltimore relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.8% out of their 194 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 148 times in high leverage situations in addition to 139 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 150 save situations, the Orioles have compiled 94 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They rank 14th in MLB holding a save percentage of 63.5%, and they have dispatched 482 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Baltimore has had relief pitchers enter the game in 52 save opportunities and they have converted 33 saves.

Out of their 11,466 innings played, the Orioles hold a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (26th in the majors). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 105 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Orioles have recorded 1,273 assists, 79 errors and have accounted for 3,822 putouts over the course of the season.

During his MLB career, Povich has allowed 185 base hits while totaling 172 strikeouts in 175 innings. Povich (6-16 mark in his career) has a 5.19 earned run average while allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up 101 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.450 and having a FIP of 5.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and he has faced 771 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+172)

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