Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, August 11, 2025

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+162) Milwaukee (-196)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (50-66) are headed to American Family Field on Monday where they will compete against the Milwaukee Brewers (70-44). The line on this matchup has the Pirates at +162 while the Brewers open at -196. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Andrew Heaney and Freddy Peralta.

Pittsburgh owns a slugging percentage of .347 and have struck out 1,010 times, while drawing a walk on 370 occasions. They have amassed 402 runs batted in as well as 898 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate is .233. The Pirates have accrued 159 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 83 balls out of the park. They have tallied 414 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 3.6 runs per game, which puts them at 30th in baseball.

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The Pirates have a team earned run average of 3.85 for the year (13th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 890 batters. Pirates pitchers have yielded 112 home runs and also 466 runs (9th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 334 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a team over the course of the season. Pittsburgh has conceded 912 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 439 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.21.

The Pirates bullpen have recorded a save rate of 55.8% and stepped onto the hill in 99 save situations. The relievers have inherited 162 base runners for the year with 33.3% of them earned a run for their team. Pirates pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 105 times and also have had 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 357 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have racked up 54 holds on the year (24th in baseball). They have tallied 24 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 19 of their 43 chances to save the game.

The Pirates have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,234 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 4th in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned 3,078 putouts for the season, in addition to 966 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which is 9th in pro baseball, and they have turned 85 double plays.

Heaney (56-71 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.42 and he has faced 4,818 batters in the majors. He has conceded 1,094 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 335 free passes. His earned run average is 4.49 (563 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.266. Heaney has thrown 1,129 innings and has totaled 1,150 strikeouts during his career.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for an OBP of .330 as well as a team batting average of .257 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 899 occasions (24th in baseball) and have earned a total of 992 base knocks. Milwaukee has 114 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 532 runs batted in. The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .398 and they are earning 5.00 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have tallied 176 two-baggers, while taking a walk 387 times and putting up 570 runs.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 443 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.62 (408 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 121 dingers and they allow 3.93 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.239 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.96 as a pitching staff on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (988 strikeouts vs 380 free passes). They have a ranking of 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 876.

Sitting with 126 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 79 holds and 12 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 44 save chances and they have walked away with 32 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 127 times in high leverage situations and on 102 occasions with base runners. Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.0% of 155 inherited base runners. They sit at 3rd in MLB with a save percentage of 72.7%, and they have dispatched 390 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

In 9,129 innings on the field, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in the majors). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 79 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in the majors). The Brewers have accrued 915 assists, 53 errors and have earned 3,043 putouts for the season.

In his pro baseball career, Peralta has surrendered 670 base knocks while accumulating 1,090 K's in 884 innings pitched. Peralta (66-41 career win-loss record) holds a 3.68 ERA and has conceded 6.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 362 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.146 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.18 and he has gone up against 3,674 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-196) and under 8.5 runs

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