Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+125) Minnesota (-145)

The Minnesota Twins (45-48) will compete against the Pittsburgh Pirates (38-56) at Target Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Pittsburgh at +125 while Minnesota is sitting at -145. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Mike Burrows and Travis Adams.

As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are notching 3.4 runs per game, which puts them at 30th in the league. They have accounted for 319 runs while holding a team OBP of .301. The Pirates have tallied 123 doubles as a squad and have hit 64 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 309 runs batted in as well as 712 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .230. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .340 and have been called out on strikes 821 times, while being walked on 296 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 87 long balls and also 364 total runs (5th in the league). Pittsburgh has given up 720 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 339 earned runs. The Pirates have compiled a team earned run average of 3.68 this year (9th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 698 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 273 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.88 as a unit on the year.

Pirates bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 88 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 43 holds on the campaign (24th in the league). The Pirates relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 54.5% and stepped onto the hill in 78 save situations. They have earned 18 saves so far this year and have not converted 15 of their 33 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 138 runners over the course of the season with 32.6% of those runners crossed the plate. The Pirates have sent 288 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Pirates have transformed 71.8% of balls in play into outs out of 7,458 innings on the diamond, ranking them 2nd in pro baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a total of 2,486 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 812 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which ranks 10th in baseball, and they have turned 76 double plays.

Burrows has taken the mound for 42 innings and has 43 K's during his MLB career. Burrows (2-2 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.56 and he has gone up against 184 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.62 (17 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.348. He has surrendered 40 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 17 walks.

Minnesota has knocked in 107 home runs this year as well as 372 runs batted in. They have tallied 146 doubles, while getting a free base 268 times as well as recording 387 runs. The Minnesota Twins hold an on-base percentage of .309 as well as a batting average of .239 for the season. The Twins hold a team SLG% of .394 and they score 4.16 runs per game (21st in the league). They have struck out on 770 occasions (16th in MLB) and have earned a total of 743 hits.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.251 in addition to having a FIP of 3.73 as a unit on the year. They sit at 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 779. The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 403 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.14 (375 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (787 strikeouts against 242 walks). They have allowed 96 HR's and they surrender 4.44 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB).

Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.1% of 94 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 110 times in high leverage situations and also on 66 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 99 save situations, the Twins have amassed 65 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They are ranked 24th in MLB with a save rate of 56.3%, and they have dispatched 317 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year. Minnesota has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 32 save chances and they have tallied 18 saves.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 47 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in professional baseball). The Twins have accrued 686 assists, 45 errors and have earned 2,448 putouts for the season. Out of their 7,344 innings on the field, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Adams has conceded 9 hits while earning 1 K's in 4 innings. Adams (0-0 mark in his career) holds a 11.25 earned run average and has conceded 20.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 5 ER's while holding a WHIP of 2.250 and a FIP of 11.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 0.00 and he has gone up against 20 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+125)

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