Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/13/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, July 13, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+172) Minnesota (-210)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-56) are en route to Target Field on Sunday where they will take on the Minnesota Twins (45-48). The moneyline on this contest has the Pirates at +172 and the Twins are priced at -210. The over/under is 8. The starting pitchers are Mitch Keller and Simeon Woods Richardson.

The Pirates have accounted for 123 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 64 baseballs out of the park. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .340 and have been called out on strikes 821 times, while drawing a walk on 296 occasions. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are knocking in 3.4 runs per game, which puts them at 30th in the league. They have tallied 309 RBI's in addition to 712 hits on the year, while their batting average is .230. They have earned a total of 319 runs and have an OBP of .301.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.20. Pirates pitchers have conceded 87 home runs in addition to 364 total runs (5th in the league). Pittsburgh has relinquished 720 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 339 earned runs. The Pirates are sitting with a team ERA of 3.68 this year (9th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 698 batters. They have walked 273 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.88 as a squad this season.

The Pirates bullpen have recorded a save rate of 54.5% and have entered the game in 78 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 138 runners this season with 32.6% of those runners ended up scoring. Pirates relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 88 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 288 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have tallied 43 holds for the year (24th in baseball). They have tallied 18 saves for the year and have not converted 15 of their 33 chances to save the game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a total of 2,486 putouts so far this season, in addition to 812 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which is 10th in the majors, and have a total of 76 double plays. The Pirates have turned 71.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,458 innings, ranking them 2nd in MLB.

Keller (39-60 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.39 while he has faced 3,540 batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 848 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 275 walks. His ERA is 4.45 (403 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.379. Keller has thrown 814 innings and is sitting with 776 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

The Minnesota Twins hold a team on-base percentage of .309 as well as a batting average of .239 for the year. They have been rung up on 770 instances (16th in the league) and have recorded 743 base hits. Minnesota has a total of 107 home runs so far this year and 372 RBIs. The Twins hold a team slugging % of .394 and they are earning 4.16 runs per contest (21st in the league). They have hit 146 two-baggers, while walking 268 times and putting up 387 runs.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.251 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.73 as a unit on the year. They are currently ranked 19th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 779. The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 403 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.14 (375 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (787 strikeouts against 242 walks). They have conceded 96 long balls and they allow 4.44 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball).

Minnesota has had relievers enter the game in 32 save chances and they have tallied 18 saves. They are ranked 24th in MLB with a save percentage of 56.3%, and they have sent 317 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have come in 110 times in high leverage situations in addition to 66 occasions with runners on. Minnesota relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.1% of 94 inherited runners. With 99 save situations, the Twins have accrued 65 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 47 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in baseball). The Twins have recorded 686 assists, 45 errors and have a total of 2,448 putouts so far this year. Out of their 7,344 innings on the diamond, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in pro baseball).

Woods Richardson (10-10 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.26 ERA and has conceded 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.30 and he has gone up against 904 batters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 100 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.316 and having a FIP of 4.2. In his MLB career, Woods Richardson has conceded 198 hits and he has 184 strikeouts in 211 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+172)

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