Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+120) New York (-144)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (27-15) will attempt to defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-28) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Pirates at +120 while the Mets are opening at -144. The betting total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Bailey Falter and Clay Holmes.

As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are notching 3.1 runs per outing, which has them at 30th in baseball. They have racked up 130 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .301. The Pirates have accumulated 48 doubles as a unit and have knocked 29 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 127 RBI's and 305 hits this season, while their team batting average comes in at .220. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .326 and have been rung up 361 times, while being walked on 149 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.31 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Pirates pitchers have given up 37 long balls in addition to 187 runs in total (22nd in the league). Pittsburgh has yielded 342 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 172 earned runs. The Pirates have compiled a team ERA of 4.12 for the year (19th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 310 hitters. They have walked 134 opposing players and their FIP is 3.96 as a unit over the course of the season.

Pirates relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 43 times as well as having 46 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 23 holds for the year (19th in the league). The Pirates relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 50.0% and have come into the game in 40 save situations. They have earned 8 saves on the year and have blown 8 of 16 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 65 runners on the season with 35.4% of them ended up scoring. The Pirates have sent 142 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Pirates have converted 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,384 innings, which has them sitting at 13th in baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accounted for 1,128 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 383 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding rate is at .981 which has them ranked 24th in MLB, and have a total of 40 double plays.

Falter has thrown 383 frames and has racked up 296 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Falter (20-26 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.53 and he has faced 1,597 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.60 (196 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.273. He has given up 387 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 101 walks.

The New York Mets have earned a team OBP of .334 and a team batting average of .255 for the year. They have struck out on 317 instances (25th in the league) and have recorded 359 base knocks. New York has recorded 51 HRs so far this season and 195 RBIs. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .433 and they tally 4.83 runs per game (7th in baseball). They have 76 doubles, while walking 150 times and recording 203 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.239 and have a FIP of 3.24 as a squad on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.20 (380 strikeouts vs 142 free passes). They have a ranking of 12th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 319. They have surrendered 26 homers and they allow 3.27 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The New York pitching staff have conceded 135 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 2.85 (118 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 52 save situations, the Mets have 34 holds and also 7 blown saves. New York has had relievers enter the contest in 18 save opportunities and they have tallied 11 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 53 times in high leverage situations and also on 38 occasions with runners on base. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.9% of 55 inherited base runners. They rank 18th in MLB with a save rate of 61.1%, and they have sent 136 relievers to the mound on the year.

The New York Mets have turned 31 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 364 assists, 19 errors and have accumulated 1,116 putouts so far this season. Out of their 3,348 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (19th in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Holmes has surrendered 323 hits while he has tallied 404 K's in 379 innings pitched. Holmes (29-23 career record) has earned a 3.61 ERA while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 152 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.297 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.39 and he has gone up against 1,638 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+120)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here