Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 7/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+162) San Francisco (-196)

The San Francisco Giants (54-53) will compete against the Pittsburgh Pirates (45-62) at Oracle Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Pirates at +162 while the Giants are coming in at -196. The total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Mike Burrows and Logan Webb.

The Pirates have hit 148 doubles as a unit and have smacked 71 balls out of the park. Pittsburgh is slugging .341 and have been rung up 926 times, while taking a walk on 331 occasions. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are recording 3.4 runs per contest, which ranks them 30th in MLB. They have accrued 352 RBI's as well as 814 hits on the year, while their team batting average sits at .230. They have earned a total of 364 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .300.

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The Pirates are sitting with a team ERA of 3.73 over the course of the season (8th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 816 hitters. Pirates pitchers have allowed 98 home runs and 418 runs (6th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 308 hitters and their FIP is 3.82 as a unit this year. Pittsburgh has conceded 827 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 392 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20.

Pirates relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 97 times in addition to having 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 51 holds for the year (24th in baseball). The Pirates bullpen have compiled a save rate of 57.5% and have come into the game in 93 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves over the course of the season and have blown 17 of their 40 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 152 runners this year and 34.2% of them earned a run for their team. The Pirates have sent 329 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Pirates have converted 71.6% of balls in play into outs out of 8,511 innings, which has them sitting at 2nd in baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned 2,837 putouts on the year, in addition to 904 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which is 7th in the majors, and have earned 81 double plays.

Burrows has taken the mound for 55 innings and has racked up 55 K's during his career. Burrows (2-3 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.02 while he has faced 238 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.08 (25 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.343. He has surrendered 51 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 23 free passes.

San Francisco has tallied 100 home runs this season as well as 421 RBIs. They have hit 165 two-baggers, while getting a free base 373 times and scoring 441 runs. The San Francisco Giants hold an on-base percentage of .312 as well as a team batting average of .233 so far this season. The Giants hold a team slugging percentage of .376 and they average 4.12 runs per contest (23rd in the league). They have been rung up on 907 instances (12th in the league) and have earned a total of 824 base hits.

The Giants hold a team WHIP of 1.277 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.65 as a staff on the year. They are currently ranked 14th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 865. The San Francisco pitching staff have surrendered 433 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.67 (385 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (907 strikeouts against 342 free passes). They have conceded 93 dingers and they concede 4.12 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league).

San Francisco relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 120 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 115 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on base. With 107 save situations, the Giants have 66 holds and 15 blown saves. They are ranked 15th in baseball holding a save rate of 63.4%, and they have sent 339 relievers to the hill this year. San Francisco has had relievers step onto the hill in 41 save chances and they have recorded 26 saves.

The San Francisco Giants have turned 81 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in pro baseball). The Giants have recorded 998 assists, 61 errors and have notched a total of 2,837 putouts over the course of the season. In their 8,511 innings on the diamond, the Giants hold a efficiency on defense of 69.0% (22nd in MLB).

Webb (64-50 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.42 ERA while giving up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.91 and he has gone up against 4,057 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 376 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.194 and having a FIP of 3.4. So far in his career, Webb has allowed 948 hits and he has 914 strikeouts in 990 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Francisco (-196)

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