Sacramento Athletics vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/24/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sacramento Athletics vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday, July 24, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Sacramento (+120) Houston (-144)

The Houston Astros (59-42) are hosting the Sacramento Athletics (42-61) at Daikin Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Athletics at +120 and the Astros are at -144. The total is 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Luis Severino and Ryan Gusto.

The Athletics have tallied 173 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 134 baseballs out of the stadium. Sacramento has a slugging percentage of .420 and have been rung up 888 times, while taking a walk on 325 occasions. As a unit, the Sacramento Athletics are notching 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 20th in the league. They have compiled 422 RBI's and 871 hits on the campaign, while their batting average comes in at .248. They have earned 437 runs and hold an OBP of .315.

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The Athletics have an earned run average of 5.26 on the year (29th in the league), and they have struck out 820 hitters. Athletics pitchers have surrendered 155 home runs in addition to 582 total runs (29th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 371 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.91 as a team on the year. Sacramento has relinquished 942 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) as well as 533 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.21 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.44.

Athletics relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 112 times as well as having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 44 holds this year (26th in MLB). The Athletics relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 57.5% and have entered the game in 84 save situations. They have recorded 23 saves over the course of the season and have blown 17 out of their 40 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 158 runners on the year with 32.9% of those players earned a run for their team. The Athletics have sent 325 relievers to the hill this season.

The Athletics have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,208 innings, which has them ranked 25th in the majors. The New York Yankees have a tally of 2,736 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 761 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which has them ranked 27th in baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays.

Severino has taken the mound for 1,027 innings and has racked up 1,033 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.96 (452 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.220. He has conceded 938 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 315 walks. Severino (68-55 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.90 while he has faced 4,310 batters during his time in the majors.

The Astros have a team slugging percentage of .410 and they are recording 4.41 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have 151 two-baggers, while walking 297 times and scoring 445 runs. Houston has hit 115 long balls over the course of the season as well as 424 RBIs. They have been rung up on 798 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have notched a total of 885 base hits. The Houston Astros have an OBP of .324 as well as a team batting average of .259 for the season.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.174 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.68 as a team on the season. They rank 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 756. The Houston pitching staff have given up 382 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.59 (359 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 9.70 (972 strikeouts against 299 free passes). They have given up 112 homers and they allow 3.82 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball).

Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.5% out of their 102 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 105 times in high leverage situations in addition to 73 occasions with base runners. With 112 save situations, the Astros have amassed 68 holds and also 11 blown saves. They are currently ranked 2nd in the league holding a save percentage of 74.4%, and they have dispatched 314 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Houston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have walked away with 32 saves.

In 8,091 innings on the diamond, the Astros have a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (10th in pro baseball). The Houston Astros have gotten 65 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in professional baseball). The Astros have 791 assists, 43 errors and have a total of 2,697 putouts so far this season.

Gusto (6-3 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.49 earned run average while allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.96 and he has faced 337 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 38 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.430 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. During his MLB career, Gusto has allowed 83 base hits while he has earned 77 K's in 76 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-144)

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