San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 6/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, June 15, 2025

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-132) Arizona (+110)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (34-34) are hosting the San Diego Padres (38-29) at Chase Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has San Diego at -132 while Arizona is sitting at +110. The total is 8. The starting pitchers are Nick Pivetta and Merrill Kelly.

The Padres have accrued 95 two-baggers as a team and have hit 57 baseballs out of the stadium. San Diego is slugging .375 and have struck out 474 times, while being walked on 212 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres are earning 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 19th in MLB. They have accumulated 257 runs batted in as well as 551 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .247. They have earned 279 runs and hold an OBP of .315.

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The Padres are sitting with a team ERA of 3.44 this season (6th in the league), and their staff has struck out 581 hitters. Padres pitchers have yielded 66 home runs in addition to 255 runs in total (8th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 226 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.84 as a unit over the course of the season. San Diego has conceded 500 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and also 228 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.22.

Padres pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 75 times and also have had 99 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 46 holds this year (7th in MLB). The Padres relievers have earned a save percentage of 72.7% and have come into the game in 80 save situations. They have compiled 24 saves on the campaign and have blown 9 out of their 33 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 104 base runners this year and 34.6% of those players earned a run for their team. The Padres have sent 237 relievers to the hill this season.

The San Diego Padres are sitting with 1,788 putouts this season, as well as 515 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them sitting 17th in the majors, and have earned 52 double plays. The Padres have converted 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,364 innings on the field, which ranks them 7th in professional baseball.

Pivetta (62-73 career record) has a FIP of 4.60 while he has gone up against 4,680 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,037 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 398 free passes. His earned run average is 4.67 (572 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.303. Pivetta has taken the mound for 1,101 innings and is sitting with 1,218 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have compiled a team OBP of .333 and a team batting average of .255 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 517 occasions (26th in MLB) and have recorded 588 base hits. Arizona has recorded 98 long balls for the season to go along with 339 RBIs. The Diamondbacks hold a slugging % of .449 and they average 5.09 runs per contest (4th in the league). They have recorded 126 doubles, while taking a walk 251 times and recording 346 runs.

The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.346 with a FIP of 4.38 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They sit at 20th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 585. The Arizona pitching staff have surrendered 350 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.77 (322 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (577 strikeouts vs 232 walks). They have given up 89 dingers and they allow 5.19 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Arizona relievers have an inherited score percentage of 33.8% of 74 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 66 times in high leverage situations and also on 58 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 74 save situations, the Diamondbacks have 38 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They are currently ranked 13th in the league holding a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have sent 212 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Arizona has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 34 save chances and they have earned 22 saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 49 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (12th in MLB). The Diamondbacks have accrued 615 assists, 31 errors and have earned a total of 1,821 putouts during this campaign. In their 5,463 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (19th in the majors).

During his career, Kelly has given up 810 base hits and he has 823 strikeouts in 906 innings pitched. He has surrendered 379 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.195 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.01 and he has faced 3,719 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Kelly (59-46 mark in his career) holds a 3.76 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-132)

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