San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, May 23, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-160) Atlanta (+132)

The San Diego Padres (27-20) are traveling to Truist Park on Friday where they will try to defeat the Atlanta Braves (24-24). The odds on this game have the Padres at -160 and the Braves open at +132. The over/under is set at 9. The men taking the mound are Nick Pivetta and Chris Sale.

San Diego is slugging .389 and have been rung up 326 times, while drawing a walk on 145 occasions. They have earned 181 RBI's as well as 401 hits so far this year, and their batting average is sitting at .257. The Padres have accounted for 69 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 41 balls out of the park. They have earned 199 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. As a team, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 16th in MLB.

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The Padres have compiled a team earned run average of 3.50 so far this season (10th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 412 hitters. Padres pitchers have relinquished 50 home runs and also 178 runs in total (5th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 152 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.87 as a team so far this season. San Diego has relinquished 336 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) as well as 161 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.71 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18.

Padres pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 45 times and also have had 57 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have recorded 33 holds on the season (7th in baseball). The Padres relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 80.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 54 save situations. They have accumulated 16 saves so far this season and have missed out on 4 out of their 20 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 66 runners for the season with 37.9% of those runners crossed home plate. The Padres have dispatched 161 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The San Diego Padres have notched a total of 1,241 putouts so far this season, in addition to 340 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them ranked 23rd in pro baseball, and have earned 34 double plays. The Padres have turned 72.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,723 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 5th in the majors.

Pivetta has taken the ball for 1,079 innings and is sitting with 1,195 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.67 (560 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.302. He has surrendered 1,013 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 392 walks. Pivetta (61-73 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.60 while going up against 4,584 batters in the majors.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for an on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .246 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 401 instances (16th in the league) and have tallied 401 base hits. Atlanta has recorded 51 home runs this year to go along with 190 runs batted in. The Braves have a team SLG% of .390 and they score 4.12 runs per game (18th in the league). They have put up 69 doubles, while getting a free base 162 times and racking up 198 runs.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.241 with a FIP of 4.10 as a staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.60 (404 strikeouts against 158 bases on balls). They rank 5th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 367. They have given up 55 dingers and they concede 4.02 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 189 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.79 (178 earned runs surrendered).

Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 63 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 59 times in high leverage situations and also on 49 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 46 save situations, the Braves have earned 26 holds and also 10 blown saves. They rank 27th in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 149 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 20 save chances and they have earned 10 saves.

Out of their 3,813 innings on the field, the Braves have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (9th in baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 36 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in MLB). The Braves have accrued 441 assists, 21 errors and have accumulated 1,271 putouts this year.

In his pro baseball career, Sale has allowed 1,649 base hits while he has totaled 2,486 strikeouts in 2,012 frames. He has surrendered a total of 683 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.053 and a FIP of 3.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.29 and he has faced 8,116 opposing batters in his career. Sale (140-86 career mark) has a 3.05 ERA and has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (+132) and under 9 runs

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