San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 5/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO

TV: Rockies.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-145) Colorado (+125)

The Colorado Rockies (6-31) will take on the San Diego Padres (23-13) at Coors Field on Sunday. The odds on this game have San Diego at -145 while Colorado opens at +125. The betting total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Nick Pivetta and German Marquez.

As a unit, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.0 runs per outing, which ranks them 21st in the league. They are sitting with 143 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .324. The Padres have tallied 53 doubles as a unit and have knocked 30 balls out of the park. They have 131 RBI's as well as 301 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate sits at .256. San Diego has a slugging rate of .382 and have struck out 250 times, while being walked on 115 occasions.

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The Padres have an ERA of 3.00 over the course of the season (4th in baseball), and they have struck out 310 hitters. Padres pitchers have surrendered 30 long balls in addition to 114 total runs (1st in baseball). They have walked 119 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.62 as a unit on the year. San Diego has yielded 244 base hits (6.9 per 9 innings) and 106 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.14.

The Padres have dispatched 125 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 41 base runners on the season with 34.1% of them earned a run for their team. They have compiled 15 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 2 out of their 17 chances to save the game. The Padres relief pitchers have a save percentage of 88.2% and stepped onto the hill in 46 save situations. The relievers have a total of 28 holds this year (6th in baseball). Padres relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 28 times as well as having 49 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Padres have converted 72.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,859 innings, which has them sitting at 2nd in the majors. The San Diego Padres have earned 953 putouts this season, as well as 259 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which puts them in 14th in the majors, and they have turned 25 double plays.

Pivetta has taken the ball for 1,069 innings and has accounted for 1,183 K's so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.65 (553 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.303. He has allowed 1,004 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 389 walks. Pivetta (61-72 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.59 while he has gone up against 4,541 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Colorado has recorded 29 HRs so far this year to go along with 114 RBIs. They have 54 two-baggers, while getting a free base 106 times as well as scoring 115 runs. The Colorado Rockies have earned a team on-base percentage of .280 as well as a team batting average of .211 on the season. The Rockies have a SLG% of .343 and they are recording 3.11 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have been rung up on 367 occasions (1st in the league) and are sitting with 256 hits.

The Colorado pitching staff have allowed 224 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 5.47 (195 earned runs given up). They have relinquished 42 long balls and they surrender 6.28 runs per 9 innings (30th in baseball). The Rockies have a team WHIP of 1.567 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.55 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.00 (249 strikeouts vs 128 free passes). They come in at 30th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 375.

Colorado has had relief pitchers enter the game in 11 save chances and they have walked away with 5 saves. They rank 28th in baseball holding a save rate of 45.5%, and they have dispatched 122 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 37 times in high leverage situations in addition to 50 occasions with runners on. Colorado relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.8% of 92 inherited base runners. Sitting with 22 save situations, the Rockies have accrued 11 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

The Colorado Rockies have gotten 33 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .977 (30th in baseball). The Rockies have recorded 366 assists, 31 errors and have amassed 963 putouts so far this year. In 2,889 innings on the field, the Rockies hold a defensive efficiency of 65.1% (30th in baseball).

Marquez (65-62 career record) is the owner of a 4.58 ERA while surrendering 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.16 and he has faced 4,462 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has conceded 534 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.307 and having a FIP of 4.5. Thus far in his career, Marquez has allowed 1,054 base hits while totaling 1,004 strikeouts in 1,050 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-145)

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