San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 6/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+110) Los Angeles (-132)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (45-29) will play the San Diego Padres (39-33) at Dodger Stadium on Thursday. The odds on this game have San Diego at +110 while Los Angeles is at -132. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ryan Bergert and Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

As a unit, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 17th in MLB. They are sitting with 304 runs while holding a team OBP of .316. The Padres have tallied 106 doubles as a unit and have smacked 62 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 280 runs batted in as well as 596 hits for the season, while their team batting average sits at .248. San Diego has a slugging rate of .378 and have been called out on strikes 512 times, while drawing a walk on 229 occasions.

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The Padres have an earned run average of 3.60 on the campaign (10th in the league), and they have struck out 633 batters. Padres pitchers have allowed 73 home runs and 284 runs (11th in the league). They have walked 239 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.83 as a unit on the year. San Diego has given up 540 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 255 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.65 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22.

Padres bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 80 times in addition to having 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 48 holds so far this year (8th in baseball). The Padres relief pitchers have a save rate of 72.7% and have entered the game in 82 save situations. They have accumulated 24 saves on the year and have blown 9 out of their 33 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 112 runners on the campaign and 34.8% of those players ended up scoring. The Padres have dispatched 254 relievers to the hill on the year.

The San Diego Padres have 1,912 putouts this season, as well as 541 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .985 which has them ranked 23rd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 53 double plays. The Padres have turned 71.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,736 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 8th in professional baseball.

Bergert has taken the mound for 19 innings and has accounted for 16 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 2.36 (5 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 0.995. He has conceded 11 hits (5.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 8 walks. Bergert (1-0 mark in his career) has a FIP of 2.32 and he has faced 75 batters during his time in the majors.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have recorded a team on-base percentage of .341 and a batting average of .265 this season. They have been rung up on 605 occasions (16th in baseball) and are sitting with 672 base hits. Los Angeles has accounted for 115 home runs this season as well as 397 runs batted in. The Dodgers hold a team slugging % of .460 and they are scoring 5.58 runs per outing (1st in baseball). They have put up 125 two-baggers, while getting a free base 279 times and putting up 413 runs.

The Dodgers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.316 and have a FIP of 4.28 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (655 strikeouts against 268 walks). They come in at 18th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 602. They have relinquished 93 dingers and they relinquish 4.59 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Los Angeles pitching staff have given up 337 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.19 (308 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 99 save situations, the Dodgers have accumulated 61 holds and 12 blown saves. Los Angeles has called on relievers to enter the game in 36 save opportunities and they have tallied 24 saves. Their relievers have come in 78 times in high leverage situations and on 62 occasions with base runners. Los Angeles relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 20.2% out of their 84 inherited base runners. They are ranked 11th in MLB holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 269 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 56 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in professional baseball). The Dodgers have racked up 644 assists, 32 errors and are sitting with 1,983 putouts this year. In 5,949 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers have a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (16th in professional baseball).

Yamamoto (13-7 career mark) is the owner of a 2.84 earned run average while conceding 7.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.75 and he has gone up against 683 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 53 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.101 and having a FIP of 2.8. During his MLB career, Yamamoto has allowed 133 hits while he has tallied 195 punch outs in 168 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (+110)

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