San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, July 2, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+110) Philadelphia (-132)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (50-35) will try to defeat the San Diego Padres (45-39) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has San Diego at +110 while Philadelphia is sitting at -132. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Dylan Cease and Mick Abel.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.1 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball. They have earned a total of 345 runs scored and have an OBP of .314. The Padres have hit 126 two-baggers as a team and have hit 73 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 321 RBI's in addition to 689 hits for the season, while their team batting average sits at .247. San Diego has a slugging % of .378 and have been called out on strikes 589 times, while being walked on 265 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Picks

The Padres have an ERA of 3.65 on the campaign (8th in the league), and they have struck out 731 hitters. Padres pitchers have allowed 83 home runs in addition to 332 total runs (9th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 277 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.83 as a unit this season. San Diego has conceded 634 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 301 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23.

Padres relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 93 times in addition to having 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 56 holds this season (6th in baseball). The Padres bullpen have earned a save percentage of 71.8% and stepped onto the hill in 96 save situations. They have accumulated 28 saves this year and have blown 11 of their 39 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 132 base runners this year with 35.6% of those players crossed the plate. The Padres have sent 294 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Padres have turned 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,678 innings, which has them sitting 8th in pro baseball. The San Diego Padres have earned 2,226 putouts on the campaign, as well as 636 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them ranked 17th in MLB, and have accumulated 59 double plays.

Cease has taken the hill for 938 innings and has tallied 1,133 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.83 (399 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.260. He has allowed 787 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 395 walks. Cease (60-53 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.77 while he has faced 3,975 batters in the major leagues.

The Phillies have a slugging percentage of .401 and they average 4.59 runs per outing (12th in MLB). They have 134 doubles, while walking 296 times and recording 390 runs. Philadelphia has recorded 89 home runs on the year and 372 RBIs. They have struck out on 671 occasions (21st in the league) and have tallied 733 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an OBP of .329 and a team batting average of .254 so far this year.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.264 and have a FIP of 3.61 as a unit for the season. They come in at 21st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 714. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 340 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.72 (313 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio is 9.30 (785 strikeouts against 244 bases on balls). They have conceded 89 home runs and they concede 4.04 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 40.5% out of their 74 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 91 times in high leverage situations and also on 53 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 81 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 38 holds and 16 blown saves. They are currently ranked 16th in the league with a save rate of 61.9%, and they have sent 260 relief pitchers to the hill this season. Philadelphia has had relievers take the mound in 42 save chances and they have recorded 26 saves.

Out of their 6,822 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (24th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 57 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in MLB). The Phillies have recorded 735 assists, 31 errors and have a tally of 2,274 putouts so far this year.

During his career, Abel has allowed 23 base knocks while tallying 18 K's in 23 innings. Abel (2-1 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.51 earned run average and has allowed 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 9 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.169 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.50 and he has gone up against 96 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-132)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here