San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, July 18, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-145) Washington (+125)

Nationals Park is the location where the Washington Nationals (38-58) will compete against the San Diego Padres (52-44) on Friday. The line on this contest has the Padres at -145 while the Nationals are opening at +125. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Dylan Cease and Jake Irvin.

The Padres have compiled 136 doubles as a team and have hit 83 balls out of the park. San Diego owns a slugging percentage of .374 and have struck out 676 times, while taking a walk on 311 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.0 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 25th in the league. They have accounted for 358 RBI's as well as 781 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .246. They have earned a total of 383 runs scored and hold an OBP of .315.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.55 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24. Padres pitchers have surrendered 95 home runs and 376 total runs (6th in the league). San Diego has conceded 727 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) and 344 earned runs. The Padres have compiled a team earned run average of 3.64 on the year (6th in the league), and the staff has rung up 827 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 324 batters and their FIP is 3.87 as a team on the year.

Padres bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 114 times as well as having 140 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 66 holds on the campaign (5th in the league). The Padres relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 75.6% and stepped onto the hill in 113 save situations. They have earned 34 saves on the campaign and have blown 11 of 45 save chances. The relievers have inherited 159 base runners over the course of the season and 32.1% of them ended up scoring. The Padres have sent 340 relievers to the hill this season.

The San Diego Padres have a total of 2,550 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 724 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which puts them in 20th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 65 double plays. The Padres have turned 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,650 innings on the diamond, ranking them 7th in professional baseball.

Cease has taken the mound for 950 frames and has accumulated 1,145 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.87 (409 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.261. He has given up 800 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 398 walks. Cease (60-55 career mark) has a FIP of 3.82 while he has gone up against 4,027 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

The Nationals hold a slugging percentage of .389 and they score 4.34 runs per game (17th in baseball). They have put up 155 doubles, while walking 280 times as well as racking up 417 runs. Washington has knocked in 94 long balls for the year and 400 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 730 instances (27th in MLB) and have tallied 792 hits. The Washington Nationals have compiled a team OBP of .311 in addition to a team batting average of .245 over the course of the season.

The Washington pitching staff have conceded 519 runs this year while having an ERA of 5.21 (488 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 118 homers and they surrender 5.54 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.406 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.48 as a unit on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.90 (743 strikeouts vs 319 free passes). They rank 27th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 866.

Washington has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 33 save opportunities and they have come away with 19 saves. They rank 22nd in baseball with a save rate of 57.6%, and they have dispatched 329 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 74 times in high leverage situations and on 101 occasions with runners on base. Washington relievers hold an inherited score rate of 41.7% of 175 inherited base runners. With 71 save situations, the Nationals have accumulated 38 holds and 14 blown saves.

In 7,590 innings on the diamond, the Nationals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (26th in baseball). The Washington Nationals have turned 70 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (21st in MLB). The Nationals have recorded 808 assists, 49 errors and have a total of 2,530 putouts this season.

So far in his MLB career, Irvin has given up 403 hits while totaling 338 K's in 424 innings. He has conceded 213 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.289 and a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.35 and he has faced 1,793 batters during his career. Irvin (20-26 career mark) is the owner of a 4.52 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+125)

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