San Francisco Giants vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 7/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Francisco Giants vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Friday, July 4, 2025

Location: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco (-145) Sacramento (+125)

The Sacramento Athletics (36-52) welcome the San Francisco Giants (45-41) at Sutter Health Park on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Giants at -145 while the Athletics open at +125. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Justin Verlander and JP Sears.

The Giants have hit 128 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 80 baseballs out of the park. San Francisco owns a slugging percentage of .371 and have struck out 725 times, while being walked on 305 occasions. As a unit, the San Francisco Giants are scoring 4.1 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 23rd in MLB. They have 334 runs batted in in addition to 645 hits on the year, while their team batting average is .230. They have notched a total of 353 runs while holding a team OBP of .310.

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The Giants have a team earned run average of 3.42 over the course of the season (2nd in the league), and they have rung up 732 batters. Giants pitchers have conceded 71 home runs in addition to 329 runs (7th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 269 opposing players and their FIP is 3.54 as a unit this year. San Francisco has relinquished 676 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 288 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Giants have sent 267 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have inherited 97 base runners on the campaign and 33.0% of them ended up scoring. They have tallied 24 saves so far this season and have missed out on 13 out of their 37 chances to get a save. The Giants bullpen have compiled a save rate of 64.9% and have come into the game in 98 save situations. The relievers have notched 61 holds on the campaign (3rd in baseball). Giants relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 60 times as well as having 103 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Seattle Mariners have earned a total of 2,276 putouts this season, in addition to 809 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which is 23rd in MLB, and they have turned 61 double plays. The Giants have turned 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,828 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 17th in pro baseball.

Verlander has taken the mound for 3,482 innings and has totaled 3,471 K's in his career. Verlander (262-152 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.27 and he has faced 14,239 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.32 (1,284 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.131. He has given up 2,960 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 977 walks.

The Sacramento Athletics have a team on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .248 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 733 instances (11th in the league) and are sitting with 742 hits. Sacramento has hit 107 HRs on the season to go along with 352 runs batted in. The Athletics hold a team SLG% of .408 and they are scoring 4.14 runs per outing (21st in MLB). They have recorded 137 doubles, while getting a free base 284 times and putting up 364 runs.

The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.481 and have a FIP of 4.91 as a unit for the season. They come in at 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 822. The Sacramento pitching staff have given up 503 runs this year while having a team ERA of 5.32 (461 earned runs allowed). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (694 strikeouts vs 333 walks). They have conceded 128 homers and they allow 5.80 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB).

Sitting with 75 save situations, the Athletics have accumulated 38 holds and 17 blown saves. Sacramento has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 37 save opportunities and they have recorded 20 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 91 times in high leverage situations and also on 102 occasions with runners on. Sacramento relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of their 146 inherited base runners. They rank 26th in the league holding a save rate of 54.1%, and they have dispatched 283 relievers to the mound so far this year.

Out of their 7,020 innings on the diamond, the Athletics hold a efficiency on defense of 68.0% (26th in the majors). The Sacramento Athletics have turned 57 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in professional baseball). The Athletics have recorded 645 assists, 58 errors and have amassed 2,340 putouts for the year.

In his MLB career, Sears has given up 495 base knocks while totaling 416 strikeouts in 509 innings. He has surrendered 254 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.261 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and he has faced 2,153 hitters during his pro baseball career. Sears (28-37 mark in his career) has earned a 4.49 ERA and has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Francisco (-145)

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