Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, September 5, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-122) Atlanta (+102)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (63-77) will attempt to beat the Seattle Mariners (73-67) on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mariners at -122 while the Braves are priced at +102. The total is 8. The men taking the mound are Logan Gilbert and Chris Sale.

The Mariners have compiled 188 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 200 baseballs out of the stadium. Seattle has a slugging rate of .410 and have been rung up 1,245 times, while taking a walk on 468 occasions. As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are recording 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 12th in the league. They have accumulated 613 runs batted in and 1,144 base knocks on the season, while their batting average is sitting at .241. They have earned a total of 638 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .317.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.87 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Mariners pitchers have allowed 169 home runs and also 627 runs in total (18th in MLB). Seattle has conceded 1,176 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 566 earned runs. The Mariners are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.04 so far this year (17th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,193 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 416 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.13 as a unit this year.

The Mariners have sent 470 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 127 base runners over the course of the season and 25.2% of those runners crossed the plate. They have recorded 36 saves on the year and have not converted 22 of 58 save opportunities. The Mariners relief pitchers have a save percentage of 62.1% and have entered the game in 135 save situations. The relievers have 77 holds so far this year (17th in the league). Mariners bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 114 times in addition to having 188 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mariners have converted 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,337 innings on the field, which has them ranked 12th in professional baseball. The San Francisco Giants have notched a total of 3,779 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,177 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which is 6th in MLB, and have 103 double plays.

Gilbert (45-36 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.57 while going up against 3,263 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 679 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 176 free passes. His ERA is 3.62 (325 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.059. Gilbert has taken the mound for 807 innings and is sitting with 855 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Braves hold a team slugging % of .394 and they score 4.41 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have recorded 210 two-baggers, while walking 501 times and putting up 618 runs. Atlanta has accounted for 158 home runs on the year to go along with 597 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,213 occasions (10th in baseball) and have tallied 1,162 hits. The Atlanta Braves have recorded an OBP of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .244 on the year.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.303 in addition to having a FIP of 4.23 as a squad so far this season. They rank 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,150. The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 633 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.36 (600 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (1,199 strikeouts vs 465 free passes). They have surrendered 168 long balls and they allow 4.60 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).

With 104 save situations, the Braves have accrued 58 holds and 19 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 46 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 150 times in high leverage situations and on 144 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 38.2% out of their 191 inherited runners. They rank 24th in baseball with a save percentage of 58.7%, and they have sent 448 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 94 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). The Braves have recorded 1,197 assists, 49 errors and have accounted for 3,717 putouts so far this year. In their 11,151 innings on the field, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (13th in baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Sale has allowed 1,671 hits while he has totaled 2,537 punch outs in 2,053 innings. Sale (143-87 mark in his career) has a 3.01 earned run average while allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 687 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.049 and having a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 5.26 and he has gone up against 8,270 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+102)

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