Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 8/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-196) Baltimore (+162)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is where the Baltimore Orioles (53-66) will take on the Seattle Mariners (67-53) on Thursday. The line on this contest has Seattle at -196 while Baltimore is priced at +162. The total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Luis Castillo and Tomoyuki Sugano.

The Mariners have hit 156 doubles as a team and have smacked 171 baseballs out of the stadium. Seattle has a slugging rate of .411 and have struck out 1,062 times, while drawing a walk on 408 occasions. As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 10th in the league. They have tallied 524 runs batted in in addition to 987 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is at .243. They have earned a total of 547 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321.

Get all of our MLB Picks

They have a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Mariners pitchers have yielded 140 long balls in addition to 510 runs in total (15th in the league). Seattle has given up 971 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 457 earned runs. The Mariners have compiled a team earned run average of 3.81 over the course of the season (10th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,018 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 358 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.05 as a team so far this year.

The Mariners have dispatched 399 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 base runners for the season with 25.7% of those players crossed the plate. They have 31 saves so far this season and have not converted 20 out of their 51 save opportunities. The Mariners bullpen have a save rate of 60.8% and stepped onto the hill in 117 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 66 holds on the season (17th in the league). Mariners pitchers have entered the game with players on base 101 times as well as having 168 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Francisco Giants are sitting with 3,242 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,004 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .989 which is 4th in pro baseball, and they have turned 88 double plays. The Mariners have turned 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,726 innings, ranking them 8th in pro baseball.

Castillo has pitched in 1,368 innings and is sitting with 1,451 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.52 (535 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.178. He has given up 1,167 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 444 walks. Castillo (81-82 career record) holds a FIP of 3.47 and he has faced 5,652 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Orioles hold a team slugging percentage of .405 and they score 4.28 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have put up 193 doubles, while walking 321 times and putting up 505 runs. Baltimore has knocked in 144 HRs for the year to go along with 479 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,020 occasions (11th in the league) and have accounted for 945 hits. The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with a team OBP of .304 as well as a batting average of .240 this year.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.410 and have a FIP of 4.52 as a team so far this year. They are currently ranked 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,073. The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 593 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.85 (558 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.40 (970 strikeouts against 387 walks). They have surrendered 164 homers and they allow 5.16 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB).

Baltimore bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 22.4% out of 161 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 122 times in high leverage situations in addition to 118 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 125 save situations, the Orioles have earned 79 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They rank 12th in the league holding a save rate of 65.1%, and they have dispatched 401 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have converted 28 saves.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 84 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (19th in pro baseball). The Orioles have racked up 1,026 assists, 61 errors and have a total of 3,106 putouts over the course of the season. In 9,318 innings on the field, the Orioles hold a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (28th in pro baseball).

Sugano (9-5 mark in his career) holds a 4.24 ERA while giving up 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.58 and he has faced 518 hitters during his career. He has surrendered 57 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.306 and a FIP of 4.2. During his career, Sugano has allowed 127 base knocks while accumulating 80 K's in 121 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-196)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here