Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 7/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Friday, July 11, 2025

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+220) Detroit (-275)

The Detroit Tigers (58-34) are hosting the Seattle Mariners (48-42) at Comerica Park on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Mariners at +220 and the Tigers are opening at -275. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Luis Castillo and Casey Mize.

As a team, the Seattle Mariners are knocking in 4.5 runs per outing, which ranks them 13th in MLB. They have a total of 402 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322. The Mariners have accrued 126 doubles as a team and have smacked 119 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 389 runs batted in in addition to 764 hits for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .247. Seattle has a slugging percentage of .406 and have struck out 792 times, while drawing a walk on 304 occasions.

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The Mariners have an earned run average of 3.77 over the course of the season (12th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 747 hitters. Mariners pitchers have given up 105 home runs and also 380 total runs (16th in baseball). They have walked 277 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a unit for the season. Seattle has surrendered 744 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 342 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.70 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Mariners have dispatched 302 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 73 runners over the course of the season and 23.3% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 23 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 16 of 39 save chances. The Mariners relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 59.0% and have come into the game in 83 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 44 holds for the year (23rd in the league). Mariners relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 68 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mariners have turned 70.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,356 innings, ranking them 8th in baseball. The San Francisco Giants have amassed 2,452 putouts thus far, in addition to 774 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which has them ranked 4th in professional baseball, and they have turned 72 double plays.

Castillo (78-81 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.48 while he has faced 5,509 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 1,134 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 439 walks. His earned run average is 3.54 (524 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.180. Castillo has taken the mound for 1,333 innings and is sitting with 1,418 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Tigers hold a team slugging % of .427 and they are scoring 5.01 runs per contest (5th in MLB). They have hit 147 two-baggers, while walking 296 times as well as scoring 461 runs. Detroit has tallied 119 long balls so far this year to go along with 442 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 798 instances (6th in the league) and have accounted for 789 base hits. The Detroit Tigers hold an on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .253 for the year.

The Tigers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.194 and have a FIP of 3.74 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They sit at 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 713. The Detroit pitching staff have yielded 351 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 3.43 (312 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (778 strikeouts against 264 free passes). They have given up 92 long balls and they allow 3.86 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).

Detroit bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 24.5% out of their 139 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 79 times in high leverage situations and on 103 occasions with runners on base. With 88 save situations, the Tigers have tallied 48 holds and also 11 blown saves. They sit at 6th in MLB with a save rate of 70.3%, and they have sent 283 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season. Detroit has had relievers take the mound in 37 save opportunities and they have recorded 26 saves.

Out of their 7,365 innings played, the Tigers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (10th in pro baseball). The Detroit Tigers have turned 74 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (9th in professional baseball). The Tigers have racked up 793 assists, 42 errors and have a total of 2,455 putouts on the season.

Mize (18-21 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.97 ERA and has surrendered 8.9 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.82 and he has gone up against 1,595 opposing hitters in his career. He has conceded 166 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.273 and a FIP of 3.9. In his pro baseball career, Mize has allowed 373 hits while earning 299 K's in 376 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (-275)

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