Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, 5/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, May 23, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-152) Houston (+126)

Daikin Park is the site where the Houston Astros (25-24) will compete against the Seattle Mariners (28-20) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Mariners at -152 while the Astros are coming in at +126. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Emerson Hancock and Ryan Gusto.

Seattle is slugging .399 and have been called out on strikes 423 times, while taking a walk on 191 occasions. They have recorded 219 RBI's and 382 hits for the season, and their team batting average sits at .236. The Mariners have earned 63 doubles as a team and have hit 66 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 227 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. As a squad, the Seattle Mariners are recording 4.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 8th in the league.

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The Mariners have compiled a team ERA of 3.62 this year (11th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 398 hitters. Mariners pitchers have allowed 47 home runs and 200 total runs (13th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 153 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.79 as a team for the season. Seattle has given up 414 base knocks (8.5 per 9 innings) and 176 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30.

The Mariners bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 68.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 52 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 44 base runners for the year and 27.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Mariners bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 39 times as well as having 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mariners have dispatched 169 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have accumulated 27 holds this year (19th in the league). They have earned 17 saves on the season and have missed out on 8 of 25 save opportunities.

The Mariners have turned 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of 3,939 innings, which has them sitting 18th in pro baseball. The San Francisco Giants have accumulated 1,313 putouts this year, in addition to 425 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which has them sitting 6th in professional baseball, and they have turned 35 double plays.

Hancock (5-6 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.14 and he has gone up against 465 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 119 base knocks (10.2 hits per nine innings) with 34 free passes. His ERA is 5.21 (61 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.453. Hancock has taken the ball for 105 innings and has 70 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Astros have a team SLG% of .378 and they are earning 3.98 runs per contest (23rd in the league). They have notched 69 two-baggers, while getting a free base 154 times and putting up 195 runs. Houston has a total of 45 home runs on the season as well as 186 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 383 instances (21st in the league) and have notched a total of 399 hits. The Houston Astros have accumulated a team OBP of .317 and a batting average of .246 on the year.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.137 with a FIP of 3.56 as a squad on the year. They come in at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 337. The Houston pitching staff have allowed 179 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.48 (166 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.30 (445 strikeouts against 151 walks). They have given up 46 homers and they yield 3.75 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

Houston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.8% out of their 52 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 38 times in high leverage situations and on 35 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 47 save situations, the Astros have earned 29 holds and also 5 blown saves. They rank 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 72.2%, and they have sent 151 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Houston has called on relievers to enter the game in 18 save opportunities and they have come away with 13 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 26 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in pro baseball). The Astros have recorded 363 assists, 22 errors and have earned 1,288 putouts so far this year. In 3,864 innings on the diamond, the Astros have a defensive efficiency of 72.5% (4th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Gusto has given up 34 base knocks while he has totaled 32 punch outs in 31 frames. Gusto (3-2 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.65 ERA while surrendering 9.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 16 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.516 and a FIP of 4.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.46 and he has gone up against 141 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (+126)

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