Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025

Location: Journey Bank Ballpark in Williamsport, PA

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-160) New York (+132)

The New York Mets (64-57) will play the Seattle Mariners (67-55) at Journey Bank Ballpark on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Mariners at -160 and the Mets are at +132. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are George Kirby and Clay Holmes.

The Mariners have recorded 157 doubles as a squad and have hit 172 balls out of the park. Seattle has a slugging percentage of .408 and have struck out 1,080 times, while drawing a walk on 413 occasions. As a team, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in MLB. They have tallied 531 RBI's in addition to 1,007 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is .243. They have 554 runs and have an OBP of .319.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Mariners pitchers have allowed 141 home runs and 519 total runs (15th in the league). Seattle has conceded 989 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 465 earned runs. The Mariners hold a team earned run average of 3.78 on the year (10th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,040 hitters. They have walked 368 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.04 as a squad so far this year.

Mariners relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 103 times in addition to having 173 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 68 holds on the season (15th in the league). The Mariners relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 61.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 120 save situations. They have recorded 32 saves for the year and have missed out on 20 of 52 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 111 base runners on the season with 26.1% of those players crossed the plate. The Mariners have dispatched 409 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Mariners have turned 71.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 9,957 innings, which has them sitting 7th in professional baseball. The San Francisco Giants have accounted for 3,319 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,027 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .989 which puts them in 4th in MLB, and they have turned 91 double plays.

Kirby (43-31 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.42 while he has faced 2,419 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 566 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 84 free passes. His ERA is 3.47 (230 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.090. Kirby has thrown 596 innings and has earned 574 punch outs in his MLB career.

The New York Mets have recorded an OBP of .320 and a batting average of .241 on the season. They have been rung up on 970 instances (20th in baseball) and have earned a total of 972 base hits. New York has recorded 155 long balls over the course of the season as well as 520 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .412 and they have an average of 4.42 runs per game (14th in baseball). They have put up 190 doubles, while taking a walk 419 times as well as putting up 535 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.313 in addition to having a FIP of 3.91 as a unit so far this season. They are sitting at 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 974. The New York pitching staff have yielded 503 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.75 (447 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (1,030 strikeouts vs 435 free passes). They have allowed 111 homers and they give up 4.22 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.5% of 194 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 152 times in high leverage situations and on 130 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 134 save situations, the Mets have recorded 78 holds and also 21 blown saves. They rank 15th in baseball holding a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 397 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 56 save chances and they have walked away with 35 saves.

In 9,657 innings on the field, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (18th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 89 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in pro baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,094 assists, 58 errors and have notched a total of 3,219 putouts so far this season.

Thus far in his career, Holmes has given up 404 base hits while earning 461 K's in 463 innings pitched. Holmes (33-28 record in his career) has a 3.71 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 191 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.315 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.25 and he has faced 2,000 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (-160)

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