Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/8/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees

Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+126) New York (-152)

Yankee Stadium is where the New York Yankees (49-41) will attempt to beat the Seattle Mariners (48-42) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Mariners at +126 while the Yankees are priced at -152. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Logan Gilbert and Will Warren.

As a squad, the Seattle Mariners are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 13th in MLB. They have earned 402 runs and have an on-base percentage of .322. The Mariners have accrued 126 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 119 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 389 runs batted in as well as 764 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .247. Seattle has a slugging % of .406 and have struck out 792 times, while drawing a walk on 304 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.70 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Mariners pitchers have surrendered 105 long balls and also 380 runs in total (16th in baseball). Seattle has relinquished 744 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 342 earned runs. The Mariners hold a team ERA of 3.77 this year (12th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 747 batters. They have walked 277 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a team over the course of the season.

The Mariners relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 59.0% and have entered the game in 83 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 73 base runners this season with 23.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Mariners bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 68 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mariners have dispatched 302 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 44 holds for the season (23rd in MLB). They have compiled 23 saves over the course of the season and have blown 16 of their 39 chances to save the game.

The Mariners have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,356 innings, which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball. The San Francisco Giants are sitting with 2,452 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 774 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which has them ranked 4th in pro baseball, and have 72 double plays.

Gilbert has pitched in 754 innings and has totaled 785 strikeouts in his MLB career. Gilbert (43-32 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.54 while he has faced 3,043 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.59 (301 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.057. He has given up 636 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 161 walks.

New York has accounted for 140 long balls this year to go along with 442 runs batted in. They have hit 158 doubles, while walking 358 times and scoring 462 runs. The New York Yankees have accounted for an on-base percentage of .337 as well as a batting average of .255 over the course of the season. The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .453 and they average 5.13 runs per outing (3rd in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 801 occasions (4th in baseball) and are sitting with 782 base hits.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.218 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.86 as a team on the season. They rank 2nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 666. The New York pitching staff have yielded 367 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.84 (339 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.20 (809 strikeouts vs 301 free passes). They have allowed 95 long balls and they relinquish 4.16 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.3% of 150 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 88 times in high leverage situations and also on 97 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 86 save situations, the Yankees have tallied 51 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. They rank 5th in the league with a save percentage of 70.6%, and they have dispatched 293 relievers onto the field so far this season. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 34 save opportunities and they have earned 24 saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 58 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in the majors). The Yankees have accrued 763 assists, 44 errors and have earned 2,384 putouts for the year. In their 7,152 innings played, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (4th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Warren has allowed 114 hits while he has accumulated 136 punch outs in 106 frames. Warren (5-7 career win-loss record) holds a 6.18 earned run average and has conceded 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 73 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.533 and a FIP of 6.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.78 and he has gone up against 483 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (+126)

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