Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees

Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+125) New York (-145)

The Seattle Mariners (48-42) are hitting the road to Yankee Stadium on Wednesday where they will take on the New York Yankees (49-41). The line on this matchup has the Mariners at +125 while the Yankees are at -145. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Logan Evans and Will Warren.

The Mariners have tallied 126 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 119 baseballs out of the stadium. Seattle has a slugging % of .406 and have been called out on strikes 792 times, while drawing a walk on 304 occasions. As a team, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, which is 13th in baseball. They have recorded 389 runs batted in and 764 hits so far this year, and their team batting average sits at .247. They have accumulated 402 runs scored and hold an OBP of .322.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.70 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25. Mariners pitchers have given up 105 home runs and 380 total runs (16th in the league). Seattle has given up 744 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 342 earned runs. The Mariners have compiled a team ERA of 3.77 this year (12th in the league), and their staff has struck out 747 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 277 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a unit on the campaign.

The Mariners have dispatched 302 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relievers have inherited 73 base runners for the year and 23.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 23 saves on the year and have missed out on 16 out of their 39 save opportunities. The Mariners relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 59.0% and have come into the game in 83 save situations. The relievers have racked up 44 holds on the season (23rd in MLB). Mariners bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 68 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mariners have converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,356 innings on the field, which has them ranked 8th in professional baseball. The San Francisco Giants have notched a total of 2,452 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 774 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .990 which has them sitting 4th in professional baseball, and they have turned 72 double plays.

Evans has taken the hill for 45 innings and is sitting with 33 K's during his career. His ERA is 2.99 (15 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.261. He has given up 44 hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 13 free passes. Evans (3-2 career record) has a FIP of 2.94 while he has faced 190 opposing batters in the majors.

The Yankees hold a team slugging percentage of .453 and they are scoring 5.13 runs per outing (4th in the league). They have 158 two-baggers, while walking 358 times as well as earning 462 runs. New York has accumulated 140 home runs on the season to go along with 442 RBIs. They have been rung up on 801 occasions (5th in MLB) and are sitting with 782 hits. The New York Yankees have recorded an OBP of .337 and a team batting average of .255 so far this season.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.218 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.86 as a staff this season. They rank 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 666. The New York pitching staff have allowed 367 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.84 (339 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.20 (809 strikeouts vs 301 walks). They have allowed 95 homers and they relinquish 4.16 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball).

New York has called on relievers to enter the game in 34 save chances and they have come away with 24 saves. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save percentage of 70.6%, and they have dispatched 293 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the season. Their relievers have come in 88 times in high leverage situations and also on 97 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 25.3% out of 150 inherited runners. With 86 save situations, the Yankees have amassed 51 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 58 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in the majors). The Yankees have 763 assists, 44 errors and are sitting with 2,384 putouts during this campaign. In their 7,152 innings played, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (4th in MLB).

Warren (5-7 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 6.18 earned run average and has surrendered 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.78 and he has faced 483 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded 73 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.533 and having a FIP of 6.1. In his pro baseball career, Warren has allowed 114 base hits and he has 136 strikeouts in 106 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (+125)

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