Seattle Mariners vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 7/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Monday, July 28, 2025

Location: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-132) Sacramento (+110)

The Sacramento Athletics (43-62) will play the Seattle Mariners (55-48) at Sutter Health Park on Monday. The line on this contest has Seattle at -132 and Sacramento is coming in at +110. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Luis Castillo and JP Sears.

Seattle owns a slugging percentage of .412 and have been called out on strikes 916 times, while drawing a walk on 350 occasions. They have accounted for 456 runs batted in and 874 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average is .247. The Mariners have earned 146 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 142 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 474 runs scored while having a team OBP of .323. As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are notching 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in MLB.

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The Mariners have compiled a team ERA of 3.91 on the year (16th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 867 hitters. Mariners pitchers have surrendered 116 long balls and 455 runs (20th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 320 batters and their FIP is 4.03 as a unit on the year. Seattle has given up 864 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 406 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.27.

The Mariners have sent 347 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 94 runners this season with 27.7% of those players earned a run for their team. They have tallied 25 saves over the course of the season and have blown 19 of their 44 chances to save the game. The Mariners relief pitchers have a save percentage of 56.8% and have come into the game in 100 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 56 holds on the season (19th in the league). Mariners bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 86 times in addition to having 145 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Mariners have converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,415 innings on the field, which has them sitting 13th in baseball. The San Francisco Giants are sitting with 2,805 putouts on the year, as well as 883 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which ranks 7th in pro baseball, and they have turned 81 double plays.

Castillo (80-82 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.48 and he has faced 5,582 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 1,153 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 443 walks. His earned run average is 3.53 (530 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.182. Castillo has taken the mound for 1,350 innings and has racked up 1,438 K's so far in his career.

Sacramento is sitting with 135 home runs for the season to go along with 428 runs batted in. They have hit 178 doubles, while getting a free base 328 times and putting up 443 runs. The Sacramento Athletics have an on-base percentage of .314 and a batting average of .249 this year. The Athletics have a team slugging percentage of .419 and they earn 4.22 runs per game (20th in the league). They have struck out on 903 occasions (6th in the league) and have notched a total of 890 hits.

The Sacramento pitching staff have allowed 586 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.20 (537 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 156 long balls and they concede 5.68 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Athletics are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.427 in addition to having a FIP of 4.86 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.10 (840 strikeouts against 374 bases on balls). They are sitting at 29th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 952.

Sacramento has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 41 save chances and they have recorded 24 saves. They rank 21st in the league with a save rate of 58.5%, and they have sent 328 relievers to the mound this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 98 times in high leverage situations and also on 113 occasions with runners on. Sacramento relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.5% of 160 inherited base runners. Sitting with 86 save situations, the Athletics have 45 holds and also 17 blown saves.

The Sacramento Athletics have gotten 68 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in baseball). The Athletics have accrued 771 assists, 65 errors and have accumulated 2,787 putouts during this campaign. In their 8,361 innings on the field, the Athletics are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (26th in pro baseball).

Sears (29-38 career win-loss record) has a 4.49 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and he has faced 2,233 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 264 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.251 and having a FIP of 4.4. So far in his pro baseball career, Sears has surrendered 511 base knocks and he has 440 K's in 529 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (-132)

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