Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, May 16, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+110) San Diego (-132)

The Seattle Mariners (23-19) are on their way to Petco Park on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the San Diego Padres (27-15). The moneyline on this game has Seattle at +110 and San Diego is at -132. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jhonathan Diaz and Stephen Kolek.

Seattle has a slugging percentage of .399 and have been called out on strikes 372 times, while taking a walk on 168 occasions. They have amassed 193 runs batted in in addition to 339 hits on the season, and their team batting average is at .239. The Mariners have accrued 56 two-baggers as a team and have hit 56 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 201 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. As a team, the Seattle Mariners are notching 4.8 runs per game, which has them sitting at 8th in MLB.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.43 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34. Mariners pitchers have allowed 42 home runs and 190 total runs (19th in baseball). Seattle has surrendered 372 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 172 earned runs. The Mariners are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.02 so far this year (20th in the league), and their staff has struck out 350 batters. They have walked 144 batters and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a team on the season.

Mariners bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 36 times and also have had 62 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 23 holds for the season (20th in MLB). The Mariners bullpen have a save rate of 63.6% and have entered the game in 45 save situations. They have compiled 14 saves this season and have missed out on 8 out of their 22 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 37 base runners this season with 32.4% of those players crossed the plate. The Mariners have sent 151 relievers to the mound on the campaign.

The San Francisco Giants are sitting with 1,154 putouts this year, in addition to 380 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which has them sitting 6th in the majors, and they have turned 30 double plays. The Mariners have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,462 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 20th in the majors.

Diaz has taken the hill for 46 innings and has accumulated 33 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Diaz (2-2 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.62 while he has faced 219 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.69 (24 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.714. He has conceded 52 base hits (10.2 hits per 9 innings) with 27 walks.

The Padres have a team slugging percentage of .400 and they score 4.67 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have hit 63 two-baggers, while taking a walk 140 times as well as putting up 196 runs. San Diego has a total of 39 HRs for the year as well as 178 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 286 instances (30th in MLB) and have earned a total of 368 base hits. The San Diego Padres have accumulated an OBP of .333 and a batting average of .264 over the course of the season.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.167 in addition to having a FIP of 3.75 as a team this season. They rank 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 296. The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 146 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.33 (137 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.90 (366 strikeouts vs 136 bases on balls). They have surrendered 40 home runs and they concede 3.55 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball).

With 54 save situations, the Padres have recorded 33 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 20 save opportunities and they have walked away with 16 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 56 times in high leverage situations and on 35 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 38.5% out of their 52 inherited base runners. They rank 1st in MLB holding a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have sent 145 relievers to the mound on the year.

In 3,336 innings on the field, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (4th in professional baseball). The San Diego Padres have gotten 31 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in baseball). The Padres have 302 assists, 20 errors and have notched a total of 1,112 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his MLB career, Kolek has allowed 68 hits and he has 50 punch outs in 60 innings. He has surrendered a total of 27 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.393 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and he has gone up against 263 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Kolek (5-0 record in his career) has earned a 4.03 earned run average and has given up 10.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (+110)

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