Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+106) San Diego (-128)

The San Diego Padres (27-15) will take on the Seattle Mariners (23-19) at Petco Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have Seattle at +106 while San Diego is at -128. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Logan Evans and Nick Pivetta.

The Mariners have accumulated 56 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 56 balls out of the park. Seattle is slugging .399 and have struck out 372 times, while taking a walk on 168 occasions. As a team, the Seattle Mariners are putting up 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in MLB. They have 193 runs batted in in addition to 339 base knocks this season, while their team batting average sits at .239. They have accounted for 201 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .327.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.43 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.34. Mariners pitchers have surrendered 42 long balls and 190 runs (19th in the league). Seattle has yielded 372 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 172 earned runs. The Mariners have a team ERA of 4.02 for the year (20th in the league), and the staff has rung up 350 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 144 batters and their FIP is 3.91 as a team for the year.

The Mariners have dispatched 151 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 37 base runners on the season and 32.4% of them earned a run for their team. They have tallied 14 saves this year and have blown 8 of 22 chances to save the game. The Mariners relievers have earned a save percentage of 63.6% and have come into the game in 45 save situations. The relievers have notched 23 holds this season (20th in MLB). Mariners bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 36 times and also have had 62 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Francisco Giants have a tally of 1,154 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 380 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which ranks 6th in professional baseball, and have earned 30 double plays. The Mariners have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,462 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 20th in professional baseball.

Evans (1-1 career record) holds a FIP of 6.50 while going up against 68 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 18 base hits (10.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 7 walks. His ERA is 6.60 (11 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.667. Evans has taken the hill for 15 innings and has accumulated 11 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The San Diego Padres have recorded a team on-base percentage of .333 and a team batting average of .264 for the year. They have struck out on 286 instances (30th in baseball) and have recorded 368 base knocks. San Diego has tallied 39 home runs for the season as well as 178 runs batted in. The Padres have a slugging percentage of .400 and they have an average of 4.67 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have hit 63 two-baggers, while getting a free base 140 times as well as putting up 196 runs.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.167 in addition to having a FIP of 3.75 as a team this season. They are sitting at 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 296. The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 146 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.33 (137 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (366 strikeouts vs 136 free passes). They have allowed 40 homers and they allow 3.55 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.5% out of 52 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 56 times in high leverage situations in addition to 35 occasions with runners on. With 54 save situations, the Padres have compiled 33 holds and also 4 blown saves. They are currently ranked 1st in the league holding a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 145 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. San Diego has had relief pitchers enter the game in 20 save opportunities and they have tallied 16 saves.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 31 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors). The Padres have racked up 302 assists, 20 errors and have a total of 1,112 putouts over the course of the season. In 3,336 innings on the field, the Padres have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (4th in professional baseball).

Pivetta (61-73 mark in his career) has a 4.69 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.04 and he has faced 4,563 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 559 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.306 and having a FIP of 4.6. In his career, Pivetta has surrendered 1,011 base hits while he has accumulated 1,188 strikeouts in 1,073 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (+106)

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