Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 5/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-152) Texas (+126)

The Seattle Mariners (18-12) are on their way to Globe Life Field on Saturday where they will play the Texas Rangers (16-15). The moneyline on this game has Seattle at -152 and Texas is sitting at +126. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Luis Castillo and Patrick Corbin.

The Mariners have earned 36 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 45 balls out of the park. Seattle has a slugging percentage of .415 and have struck out 268 times, while drawing a walk on 134 occasions. As a team, the Seattle Mariners are recording 5.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 7th in baseball. They have tallied 144 RBI's and 242 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate is at .241. They have notched a total of 152 runs and hold an OBP of .339.

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The Mariners hold a team ERA of 3.74 this season (12th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 252 batters. Mariners pitchers have allowed 29 home runs in addition to 129 total runs (13th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 104 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.81 as a team on the year. Seattle has given up 255 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 114 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.42 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Mariners have sent 111 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 26 base runners this year with 30.8% of them crossed home plate. They have compiled 11 saves so far this season and have missed out on 4 out of their 15 chances to save the game. The Mariners relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 73.3% and have come into the game in 35 save situations. The relievers have racked up 20 holds on the year (12th in baseball). Mariners pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 26 times in addition to having 39 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Francisco Giants have a total of 823 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 282 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which has them ranked 8th in baseball, and have accumulated 22 double plays. The Mariners have converted 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,469 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 16th in MLB.

Castillo has taken the ball for 1,262 frames and has earned 1,359 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Castillo (76-78 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.50 and he has gone up against 5,221 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.56 (499 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.182. He has given up 1,071 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 421 free passes.

The Rangers hold a team slugging % of .375 and they earn 3.32 runs per game (28th in the league). They have notched 46 two-baggers, while taking a walk 72 times and scoring 103 runs. Texas has a total of 30 home runs over the course of the season as well as 101 runs batted in. They have struck out on 249 instances (18th in the league) and have a total of 233 base hits. The Texas Rangers hold an OBP of .289 in addition to a batting average of .233 this year.

The Rangers have a WHIP of 1.133 in addition to having a FIP of 3.36 as a squad this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (255 strikeouts vs 79 walks). They come in at 6th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 227. They have relinquished 24 dingers and they give up 3.73 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Texas pitching staff have conceded 112 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.27 (98 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 41 save situations, the Rangers have compiled 26 holds and 4 blown saves. Texas has called on relievers to take the mound in 15 save chances and they have recorded 11 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 31 times in high leverage situations and also on 27 occasions with runners on. Texas relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.1% out of 45 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 10th in baseball holding a save percentage of 73.3%, and they have dispatched 98 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

In 2,430 innings on the field, the Rangers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (10th in pro baseball). The Texas Rangers have turned 25 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in MLB). The Rangers have racked up 272 assists, 15 errors and have accumulated 810 putouts on the season.

Corbin (105-132 mark in his career) has a 4.51 ERA while giving up 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and he has faced 8,230 hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 957 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.375 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. During his career, Corbin has given up 2,042 base hits while earning 1,744 K's in 1,911 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-152)

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