St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 5/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (-160) Washington (+132)

The St. Louis Cardinals (19-19) are traveling to Nationals Park on Sunday where they will go up against the Washington Nationals (17-21). The moneyline on this contest has the Cardinals at -160 while the Nationals are coming in at +132. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Miles Mikolas and MacKenzie Gore.

The Cardinals have hit 75 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 35 baseballs out of the park. St. Louis owns a slugging percentage of .401 and have been called out on strikes 290 times, while taking a walk on 134 occasions. As a squad, the St. Louis Cardinals are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in MLB. They have accounted for 165 runs batted in in addition to 337 hits so far this year, and their batting average is .260. They have earned a total of 174 runs scored while having a team OBP of .334.

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The Cardinals hold a team earned run average of 4.08 on the year (18th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 266 hitters. Cardinals pitchers have conceded 29 long balls and also 167 runs in total (18th in the league). They have walked 120 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.82 as a team for the season. St. Louis has conceded 306 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 153 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.22 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.26.

The Cardinals relievers have recorded a save rate of 56.3% and stepped onto the hill in 44 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 49 runners for the year with 42.9% of them earned a run for their team. Cardinals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 38 times in addition to having 50 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have dispatched 119 relievers to the mound on the year. The bullpen have earned 28 holds on the campaign (7th in the league). They have recorded 9 saves for the year and have blown 7 of 16 chances to get a save.

The St. Louis Cardinals are sitting with 1,013 putouts on the campaign, as well as 380 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .989 which ranks 8th in MLB, and have 26 double plays. The Cardinals have converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs in their 3,039 innings on the field, ranking them 9th in pro baseball.

Mikolas has taken the ball for 1,130 innings and has earned 813 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 4.17 (524 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.206. He has allowed 1,142 base knocks (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 221 free passes. Mikolas (65-66 career mark) has a FIP of 4.11 and he has gone up against 4,697 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Washington has a total of 38 home runs on the campaign to go along with 159 runs batted in. They have notched 56 doubles, while taking a walk 120 times and recording 168 runs. The Washington Nationals have tallied an OBP of .314 and a team batting average of .242 for the season. The Nationals hold a slugging percentage of .386 and they tally 4.42 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 304 instances (18th in baseball) and have notched a total of 307 base hits.

The Washington pitching staff have surrendered 205 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 5.38 (198 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 39 dingers and they concede 5.57 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.449 in addition to having a FIP of 4.30 as a pitching staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (304 strikeouts against 141 walks). They come in at 27th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 339.

Sitting with 36 save situations, the Nationals have amassed 18 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. Washington has called on relievers to enter the contest in 18 save chances and they have converted 12 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 29 times in high leverage situations in addition to 42 occasions with runners on base. Washington relievers have an inherited score rate of 50.7% out of their 75 inherited base runners. They rank 14th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 128 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Washington Nationals have turned 25 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (6th in pro baseball). The Nationals have 325 assists, 15 errors and have amassed 995 putouts during this campaign. In 2,985 innings on the field, the Nationals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.8% (24th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Gore has surrendered 411 base knocks while earning 472 strikeouts in 418 innings. Gore (23-29 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.11 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 191 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.394 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 and he has faced 1,809 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+132)

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