Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/24/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-182) Baltimore (+150)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the site where the Baltimore Orioles (73-83) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (76-80) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at -182 while Baltimore is sitting at +150. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Shane Baz and Tyler Wells.

The Rays have hit 235 two-baggers as a team and have hit 177 baseballs out of the park. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .403 and have been called out on strikes 1,340 times, while drawing a walk on 451 occasions. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in MLB. They have tallied 663 RBI's and 1,324 hits this season, while their average at the plate is .252. They are sitting with 696 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .314.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.01 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.21. Rays pitchers have relinquished 195 home runs and 647 runs (10th in the league). Tampa Bay has surrendered 1,225 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 591 earned runs. The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 3.85 over the course of the season (10th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,362 hitters. They have walked 452 batters and their FIP sits at 4.13 as a unit for the year.

Rays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 109 times in addition to having 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 87 holds this season (16th in baseball). The Rays bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 55.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 153 save situations. They have recorded 35 saves on the year and have not converted 28 of 63 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 161 runners so far this season and 31.1% of those players earned a run for their team. The Rays have sent 502 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Rays have turned 70.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,441 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 9th in pro baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have 4,147 putouts thus far, as well as 1,373 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which puts them in 15th in baseball, and have accumulated 142 double plays.

Baz (17-17 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.25 while he has faced 1,181 hitters in the majors. He has conceded 248 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 100 free passes. His earned run average is 4.32 (135 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.237. Baz has taken the mound for 281 frames and has 290 K's so far in his career.

The Baltimore Orioles have a team OBP of .305 and a batting average of .237 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 1,399 occasions (4th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,239 base knocks. Baltimore has accounted for 182 home runs on the campaign as well as 623 RBIs. The Orioles hold a slugging % of .395 and they are scoring 4.21 runs per game (24th in baseball). They have tallied 247 doubles, while getting a free base 461 times as well as scoring 656 runs.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.369 and have a FIP of 4.41 as a staff so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (1,302 strikeouts vs 508 walks). They rank 27th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,383. They have surrendered 207 HR's and they concede 4.95 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 760 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.61 (707 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 167 save situations, the Orioles have recorded 105 holds and 20 blown saves. Baltimore has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 58 save opportunities and they have come away with 38 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 167 times in high leverage situations and also on 150 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.8% out of 209 inherited runners. They are ranked 8th in MLB holding a save percentage of 65.5%, and they have sent 523 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 117 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in pro baseball). The Orioles have 1,363 assists, 84 errors and have accounted for 4,145 putouts so far this season. In 12,435 innings played, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (27th in MLB).

Wells (18-18 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.96 ERA and has conceded 7.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.65 and he has faced 1,247 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has given up 137 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.024 and a FIP of 3.9. In his pro baseball career, Wells has conceded 241 hits while he has earned 285 strikeouts in 311 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+150)

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