Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/10/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-145) Boston (+125)

The Tampa Bay Rays (35-30) are on their way to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (32-35). The moneyline on this game has the Rays at -145 and the Red Sox are opening at +125. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Ryan Pepiot and Lucas Giolito.

Tampa Bay is slugging .394 and have been rung up 550 times, while taking a walk on 193 occasions. They have accrued 274 RBI's and 534 base knocks on the campaign, and their average at the plate is sitting at .246. The Rays have hit 104 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 70 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 287 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .311. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.4 runs per outing, which ranks them 12th in baseball.

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The Rays are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.49 on the campaign (7th in the league), and their staff has struck out 510 hitters. Rays pitchers have given up 85 home runs in addition to 239 runs in total (8th in MLB). They have walked 168 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.20 as a squad for the season. Tampa Bay has yielded 508 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 226 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.04 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.16.

The Rays have dispatched 205 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 50 base runners for the year with 38.0% of them earned a run for their team. They have 16 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 7 out of their 23 save chances. The Rays bullpen have earned a save percentage of 69.6% and have come into the game in 64 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 40 holds on the campaign (14th in MLB). Rays bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 35 times in addition to having 63 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 72.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,241 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 3rd in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 1,747 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 624 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which ranks 5th in baseball, and have a total of 73 double plays.

Pepiot has taken the hill for 284 innings and is sitting with 286 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.26 (103 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.130. He has given up 219 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) with 102 walks. Pepiot (16-14 career mark) has a FIP of 3.21 while he has gone up against 1,161 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .424 and they are scoring 4.93 runs per outing (5th in baseball). They have hit 127 doubles, while taking a walk 231 times as well as putting up 330 runs. Boston has accounted for 83 home runs this year as well as 318 runs batted in. They have struck out on 617 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have tallied 597 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have earned an on-base percentage of .328 as well as a batting average of .255 on the season.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.348 in addition to having a FIP of 3.94 as a unit for the season. They come in at 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 588. The Boston pitching staff have given up 313 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.13 (276 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.40 (562 strikeouts against 222 free passes). They have surrendered 69 dingers and they allow 4.69 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league).

Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 29 save chances and they have recorded 15 saves. They are ranked 27th in baseball with a save rate of 51.7%, and they have dispatched 223 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 85 times in high leverage situations and also on 65 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.8% out of their 88 inherited base runners. Sitting with 60 save situations, the Red Sox have 29 holds and also 14 blown saves.

In 5,412 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a efficiency on defense of 67.4% (29th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 61 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .977 (30th in MLB). The Red Sox have recorded 609 assists, 58 errors and are sitting with 1,804 putouts over the course of the season.

Thus far in his career, Giolito has allowed 930 base hits while totaling 1,104 punch outs in 1,046 innings pitched. Giolito (62-63 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.50 ERA and has allowed 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 523 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.267 and having a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.79 and he has faced 4,410 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+125)

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