Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, June 9, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-122) Boston (+102)

Fenway Park is the site where the Boston Red Sox (30-34) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (33-29) on Monday. The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at -122 while Boston is sitting at +102. The total is 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Shane Baz and Brayan Bello.

The Rays have accrued 96 doubles as a squad and have hit 64 baseballs out of the park. Tampa Bay is slugging .388 and have struck out 525 times, while drawing a walk on 187 occasions. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.4 runs per contest, which has them at 14th in the league. They have recorded 257 runs batted in in addition to 508 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .246. They have racked up 270 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .311.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.98 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.16. Rays pitchers have given up 82 home runs and 223 runs in total (5th in baseball). Tampa Bay has allowed 477 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 211 earned runs. The Rays hold a team earned run average of 3.43 on the season (6th in the league), and they have struck out 488 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 164 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.25 as a team for the year.

Rays pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 31 times in addition to having 55 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 37 holds so far this season (14th in baseball). The Rays bullpen have recorded a save rate of 68.2% and have entered the game in 60 save situations. They have recorded 15 saves for the year and have blown 7 of their 22 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 46 runners this season and 37.0% of those players ended up scoring. The Rays have sent 192 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 1,663 putouts this year, as well as 587 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which puts them in 8th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 71 double plays. The Rays have converted 72.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,989 innings on the diamond, ranking them 2nd in the majors.

Baz has thrown 184 frames and is sitting with 177 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Baz (12-8 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.90 and he has gone up against 764 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.96 (81 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.183. He has given up 156 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 62 walks.

The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .416 and they earn 4.73 runs per contest (6th in the league). They have recorded 120 two-baggers, while walking 217 times as well as scoring 303 runs. Boston has hit 75 home runs for the season and 291 RBIs. They have struck out on 588 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have notched a total of 565 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .325 in addition to a team batting average of .254 this season.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 290 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.01 (256 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 62 homers and they yield 4.54 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.332 with a FIP of 3.87 as a squad on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (531 strikeouts vs 209 bases on balls). They are sitting at 26th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 557.

Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.9% out of their 82 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 84 times in high leverage situations and on 62 occasions with runners on base. With 53 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 24 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They are currently ranked 28th in the league with a save rate of 48.1%, and they have dispatched 210 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year. Boston has called on relievers to enter the game in 27 save opportunities and they have come away with 13 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 59 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .977 (30th in the majors). The Red Sox have racked up 587 assists, 55 errors and have a tally of 1,726 putouts over the course of the season. In 5,178 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (27th in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Bello has allowed 446 base hits while tallying 373 strikeouts in 422 innings. Bello (30-28 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.37 ERA while giving up 9.5 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 205 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.435 and having a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.33 and he has faced 1,845 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-122)

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