Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/10/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, July 10, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-182) Boston (+150)

The Boston Red Sox (47-45) host the Tampa Bay Rays (49-42) at Fenway Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at -182 and Boston is at +150. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Taj Bradley and Walker Buehler.

The Rays have accumulated 141 doubles as a team and have hit 101 baseballs out of the park. Tampa Bay is slugging .409 and have struck out 752 times, while drawing a walk on 272 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are recording 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 7th in the league. They have accrued 410 RBI's in addition to 795 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is at .259. They have 432 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .322.

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The Rays have a team ERA of 3.78 this year (14th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 761 hitters. Rays pitchers have yielded 123 home runs and 367 runs (14th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 252 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.25 as a squad so far this season. Tampa Bay has yielded 725 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 342 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.02 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Rays have dispatched 287 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 99 base runners on the season with 38.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 21 saves for the year and have blown 14 of 35 chances to save the game. The Rays bullpen have recorded a save rate of 60.0% and have entered the game in 86 save situations. The relievers have a total of 50 holds on the season (17th in baseball). Rays bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 68 times and also have had 87 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have earned 2,440 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 831 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which is 13th in MLB, and they have turned 92 double plays. The Rays have turned 71.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,320 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 5th in the majors.

Bradley (18-25 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.70 and he has faced 1,452 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 318 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 123 walks. His ERA is 4.77 (180 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.299. Bradley has taken the mound for 339 innings and is sitting with 367 punch outs thus far in his career.

Boston has compiled 114 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 437 RBIs. They have 186 doubles, while walking 300 times and scoring 457 runs. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for an OBP of .325 as well as a team batting average of .255 on the campaign. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .430 and they tally 4.97 runs per contest (6th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 843 instances (3rd in the league) and have totaled 813 base hits.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.326 and have a FIP of 3.88 as a pitching staff so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (772 strikeouts vs 316 walks). They rank 24th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 777. They have surrendered 87 homers and they relinquish 4.56 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have yielded 418 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.94 (361 earned runs conceded).

Boston has had relief pitchers enter the game in 42 save chances and they have come away with 24 saves. They are ranked 23rd in the league with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 304 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 115 times in high leverage situations in addition to 95 occasions with runners on. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.6% of 128 inherited runners. With 93 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 49 holds in addition to 18 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 79 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .978 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 847 assists, 75 errors and have 2,474 putouts for the year. Out of their 7,422 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (27th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Buehler has given up 670 base hits while totaling 815 K's in 785 innings pitched. Buehler (53-28 career win-loss record) holds a 3.54 earned run average while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 309 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.136 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.67 and he has faced 3,232 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+150)

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