Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, July 25, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+220) Cincinnati (-275)

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (53-50) will attempt to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (53-50) on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at +220 while Cincinnati is priced at -275. The over/under is 9. The expected starting pitchers are Zack Littell and Nick Martinez.

Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .406 and have been called out on strikes 851 times, while being walked on 314 occasions. They have amassed 453 runs batted in as well as 895 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate is at .258. The Rays have hit 158 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 113 balls out of the park. They have tallied 483 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .322. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 4.7 runs per contest, which is 8th in baseball.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20. Rays pitchers have surrendered 135 long balls and 419 total runs (11th in the league). Tampa Bay has surrendered 815 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 392 earned runs. The Rays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.85 on the season (12th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 854 hitters. They have walked 287 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a team on the season.

The Rays have dispatched 320 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 108 base runners this year with 36.1% of them crossed home plate. They have compiled 23 saves for the year and have not converted 17 of their 40 chances to save the game. The Rays relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 57.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 98 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 57 holds on the year (15th in baseball). Rays bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 73 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 2,750 putouts for the season, in addition to 931 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which ranks 9th in pro baseball, and have 100 double plays. The Rays have transformed 71.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,250 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 4th in MLB.

Littell has thrown 538 innings and has earned 449 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Littell (32-28 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.77 while he has gone up against 2,242 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.83 (229 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.225. He has given up 539 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 120 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds have compiled an on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .246 on the campaign. They have struck out on 881 occasions (10th in the league) and have earned a total of 850 hits. Cincinnati has tallied 107 home runs for the season as well as 441 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .394 and they tally 4.56 runs per outing (12th in the league). They have notched 163 two-baggers, while taking a walk 341 times as well as scoring 470 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 435 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.91 (395 earned runs relinquished). They have relinquished 118 homers and they relinquish 4.31 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.245 and have a FIP of 4.14 as a squad so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (837 strikeouts against 323 walks). They sit at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 808.

Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 35 save chances and they have tallied 24 saves. They rank 8th in baseball with a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 346 relievers to the hill on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 88 times in high leverage situations and on 85 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.3% out of their 134 inherited base runners. Sitting with 100 save situations, the Reds have 63 holds and also 11 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 59 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in professional baseball). The Reds have recorded 779 assists, 51 errors and have earned a total of 2,726 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 8,178 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (6th in pro baseball).

Martinez (45-54 career mark) has earned a 4.18 earned run average while conceding 9.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.32 and he has gone up against 3,782 opposing hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 413 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.310 and a FIP of 4.1. Thus far in his career, Martinez has conceded 892 base knocks and he has 635 punch outs in 890 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-275)

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