Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 8/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians
Date: Monday, August 25, 2025
Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
TV: CLEGuardians.TV
Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+110) Cleveland (-130)
The Tampa Bay Rays (61-67) are traveling to Progressive Field on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Cleveland Guardians (64-62). The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at +110 while Cleveland is at -130. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Shane Baz and Tanner Bibee.


Tampa Bay owns a slugging percentage of .396 and have struck out 1,100 times, while being walked on 373 occasions. They have accumulated 536 runs batted in and 1,079 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is at .250. The Rays have hit 190 doubles as a squad and have knocked 139 baseballs out of the park. They have a total of 567 runs while holding a team OBP of .313. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 14th in baseball.
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Their K/BB ratio is 3.00 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22. Rays pitchers have conceded 174 long balls and 543 runs in total (14th in baseball). Tampa Bay has surrendered 1,020 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and 505 earned runs. The Rays have a team earned run average of 4.01 this season (16th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,095 hitters. They have walked 365 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.29 as a squad on the year.
Rays relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 90 times in addition to having 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 69 holds this season (17th in MLB). The Rays bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 57.1% and have entered the game in 119 save situations. They have recorded 28 saves for the year and have blown 21 of their 49 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 131 base runners on the year with 33.6% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have sent 403 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.
The Rays have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs in their 10,194 innings on the field, which has them ranked 9th in pro baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have 3,398 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,141 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which puts them in 13th in baseball, and they have turned 122 double plays.
Baz has taken the hill for 257 innings and has earned 260 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.37 (125 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.236. He has allowed 227 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 91 walks. Baz (15-15 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.31 while he has faced 1,079 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.
Cleveland has compiled 132 HRs so far this season to go along with 479 runs batted in. They have tallied 185 two-baggers, while getting a free base 397 times and notching 498 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have earned a team on-base percentage of .299 as well as a batting average of .227 this year. The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .374 and they are earning 3.95 runs per contest (26th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,027 instances (18th in MLB) and have 938 base hits.
The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.309 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.09 as a team this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (1,057 strikeouts vs 445 free passes). They rank 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,024. They have allowed 134 homers and they surrender 4.27 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 532 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.87 (482 earned runs relinquished).
Cleveland has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 54 save chances and they have converted 37 saves. They rank 6th in baseball holding a save percentage of 68.5%, and they have dispatched 423 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 148 times in high leverage situations in addition to 114 occasions with runners on. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score rate of 33.8% of 160 inherited base runners. With 146 save situations, the Guardians have 89 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.
The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 93 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Guardians have racked up 1,027 assists, 84 errors and have accounted for 3,366 putouts this season. In 10,098 innings on the diamond, the Guardians have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (19th in baseball).
During his MLB career, Bibee has surrendered 412 base hits while earning 457 punch outs in 457 innings. Bibee (31-21 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.68 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 187 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.192 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.44 and he has faced 1,899 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (-130)
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Additional Resources:
Cleveland Guardians - Twitter
Tampa Bay Rays - Twitter