Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction, 5/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday, May 29, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+162) Houston (-196)

Daikin Park is where the Houston Astros (29-25) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (27-27) on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has Tampa Bay at +162 and Houston is sitting at -196. The betting total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Shane Baz and Ryan Gusto.

Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .379 and have been rung up 436 times, while drawing a walk on 159 occasions. They have compiled 211 runs batted in in addition to 434 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .245. The Rays have tallied 78 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 51 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 219 runs while holding a team OBP of .309. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 4.1 runs per contest, which is 19th in the league.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Rays pitchers have allowed 72 home runs in addition to 202 runs (10th in the league). Tampa Bay has allowed 415 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 193 earned runs. The Rays have a team ERA of 3.66 for the season (10th in MLB), and they have struck out 403 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 151 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.42 as a team for the season.

The Rays have sent 169 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 41 base runners on the season and 41.5% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 14 saves for the season and have blown 6 of their 20 save opportunities. The Rays relief pitchers have a save percentage of 70.0% and have come into the game in 52 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 31 holds for the season (15th in MLB). Rays pitchers have entered the game with runners on 27 times as well as having 53 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a total of 1,424 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 513 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which has them ranked 2nd in professional baseball, and they have turned 62 double plays. The Rays have turned 72.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 4,272 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 1st in baseball.

Baz has taken the ball for 173 innings and has earned 169 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.89 (75 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.182. He has surrendered 144 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 61 free passes. Baz (11-8 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.83 while he has gone up against 718 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Houston Astros have accumulated a team OBP of .323 as well as a team batting average of .254 this year. They have been rung up on 405 occasions (26th in baseball) and have recorded 447 base hits. Houston is sitting with 49 HRs for the year to go along with 203 runs batted in. The Astros have a team slugging % of .386 and they score 4.04 runs per contest (21st in MLB). They have notched 73 two-baggers, while getting a free base 161 times as well as racking up 214 runs.

The Astros have a WHIP of 1.159 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.53 as a unit on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.50 (491 strikeouts vs 166 walks). They rank 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 373. They have relinquished 50 HR's and they surrender 3.68 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have allowed 190 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.43 (177 earned runs yielded).

Houston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 27.9% out of 61 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 48 times in high leverage situations in addition to 41 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 53 save situations, the Astros have 33 holds and also 6 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 166 relievers to the hill this year. Houston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 20 save chances and they have walked away with 14 saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 28 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (10th in MLB). The Astros have 391 assists, 23 errors and have amassed 1,396 putouts this season. In 4,188 innings on the field, the Astros are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (5th in pro baseball).

In his career, Gusto has allowed 38 base knocks while accumulating 38 strikeouts in 35 innings pitched. He has conceded 18 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.538 and a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has faced 160 hitters so far in his career. Gusto (3-2 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.62 earned run average and has conceded 9.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+162)

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