Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction, 5/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, May 30, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+132) Houston (-160)

Daikin Park is the site where the Houston Astros (30-25) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (28-27) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Rays at +132 and the Astros are coming in at -160. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ryan Pepiot and Framber Valdez.

As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are recording 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 19th in the league. They have accounted for 226 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .309. The Rays have compiled 80 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 53 balls out of the park. They have amassed 217 RBI's and 448 base knocks this year, and their team batting average comes in at .245. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .378 and have been called out on strikes 452 times, while taking a walk on 164 occasions.

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The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.58 for the season (9th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 420 batters. Rays pitchers have conceded 73 home runs in addition to 206 total runs (9th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 153 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.36 as a unit so far this year. Tampa Bay has relinquished 428 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 196 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.18.

The Rays have dispatched 174 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 41 base runners this season with 41.5% of those runners crossed home plate. They have accumulated 14 saves this year and have blown 6 of their 20 save chances. The Rays relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 70.0% and have come into the game in 52 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 31 holds so far this year (17th in MLB). Rays pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 27 times in addition to having 53 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have transformed 72.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,434 innings, which has them ranked 1st in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 1,478 putouts for the season, as well as 531 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which has them ranked 2nd in professional baseball, and have accumulated 64 double plays.

Pepiot (16-14 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.30 while going up against 1,118 opposing hitters in the majors. He has conceded 214 base knocks (7.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 99 free passes. His earned run average is 3.35 (101 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.154. Pepiot has taken the hill for 271 innings and has accumulated 274 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

The Houston Astros have an on-base percentage of .324 in addition to a batting average of .255 so far this year. They have struck out on 417 occasions (27th in the league) and have earned 467 base knocks. Houston is sitting with 54 HRs on the campaign and 219 RBIs. The Astros have a team slugging percentage of .393 and they are scoring 4.18 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have 77 doubles, while getting a free base 167 times and scoring 230 runs.

The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.149 in addition to having a FIP of 3.47 as a team for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.70 (519 strikeouts against 169 free passes). They are currently ranked 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 386. They have given up 52 home runs and they yield 3.61 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Houston pitching staff have relinquished 194 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.37 (181 earned runs yielded).

Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.9% of 61 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 48 times in high leverage situations in addition to 41 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 55 save situations, the Astros have accumulated 34 holds and 6 blown saves. They are currently ranked 5th in the league with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have sent 171 relievers onto the field for the year. Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 21 save chances and they have tallied 15 saves.

Out of their 4,350 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.7% (5th in MLB). The Houston Astros have turned 31 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (9th in pro baseball). The Astros have racked up 407 assists, 23 errors and have a tally of 1,450 putouts for the season.

During his MLB career, Valdez has allowed 797 hits while earning 930 punch outs in 957 innings. He has surrendered 352 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.192 and a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.70 and he has gone up against 3,959 opposing batters during his MLB career. Valdez (72-45 career record) has earned a 3.31 ERA while conceding 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+132)

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