Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, May 16, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-145) Miami (+125)

The Miami Marlins (16-26) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (19-23) at loanDepot park on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at -145 while Miami is sitting at +125. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Taj Bradley and Max Meyer.

The Rays have accumulated 60 doubles as a team and have hit 35 baseballs out of the stadium. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .363 and have been rung up 358 times, while being walked on 134 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are recording 3.9 runs per game, which has them at 23rd in the league. They have amassed 154 RBI's in addition to 338 hits on the season, while their batting average is sitting at .241. They are sitting with 162 runs scored while having a team OBP of .309.

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The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.86 so far this year (13th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 331 batters. Rays pitchers have conceded 59 long balls in addition to 171 total runs (10th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 121 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.45 as a unit for the season. Tampa Bay has given up 332 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 162 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.74 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.20.

The Rays have dispatched 138 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 33 base runners for the season with 39.4% of them crossed the plate. They have accumulated 12 saves for the year and have missed out on 6 of 18 chances to save the game. The Rays bullpen have a save rate of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 40 save situations. The bullpen have earned 22 holds on the campaign (21st in the league). Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 22 times and also have had 49 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 1,133 putouts on the year, as well as 400 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which ranks 11th in MLB, and have a total of 45 double plays. The Rays have converted 72.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,399 innings on the field, which has them sitting 3rd in pro baseball.

Bradley has thrown 288 innings and has totaled 318 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 4.68 (150 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.293. He has surrendered 268 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 105 free passes. Bradley (16-21 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.61 while he has faced 1,229 hitters in the majors.

The Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .382 and they earn 4.12 runs per contest (18th in baseball). They have put up 66 two-baggers, while taking a walk 127 times and scoring 173 runs. Miami has a total of 40 home runs this season to go along with 165 runs batted in. They have struck out on 368 occasions (11th in baseball) and have totaled 351 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have recorded an on-base percentage of .309 and a batting average of .244 over the course of the season.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.505 in addition to having a FIP of 4.88 as a staff this season. They are currently ranked 25th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 384. The Miami pitching staff have yielded 244 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 5.54 (229 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (330 strikeouts vs 176 walks). They have conceded 57 home runs and they concede 5.90 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB).

Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.8% of 65 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 52 times in high leverage situations and on 46 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 35 save situations, the Marlins have earned 21 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They sit at 25th in the league with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 145 relievers to the hill on the year. Miami has had relief pitchers enter the game in 14 save opportunities and they have come away with 7 saves.

Out of their 3,354 innings played, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (22nd in professional baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 31 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in baseball). The Marlins have racked up 370 assists, 21 errors and have a total of 1,118 putouts this year.

In his MLB career, Meyer has surrendered 114 hits and he has 104 strikeouts in 108 innings. Meyer (5-10 career record) is the owner of a 5.25 earned run average while allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 63 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.397 and a FIP of 5.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and he has faced 469 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-145)

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